Huerfano County
Market Snapshot
Huerfano market analysis
Huerfano County sits at a median home price of $278,932 with a cash-flow score of zero and a cap rate of zero in the provided data, which tells you the income math doesn't pencil without significant work. The affordability index of 70 and home prices that slipped 0.63% year-over-year confirm this is not an appreciating market right now, but it's also not expensive by Colorado standards. With an overall score of 55 out of 100 and a national percentile rank of 36, Huerfano lands solidly in the bottom half of markets nationally, though it ranks 11th out of 62 Colorado counties, meaning much of the state looks worse on an investment scorecard. The stability score of 50 and appreciation score of 47 round out a picture of a market that isn't collapsing but isn't doing much of anything either.
The cash-flow score of zero essentially disqualifies this county for a pure income buyer underwriting at market rents against a $278,932 purchase at 6.85% interest. A 20% down payment leaves you with roughly $223,146 financed, and at that rate the mortgage alone is a real obstacle before you layer in operating costs. The appreciation score of 47, combined with a year-over-year price decline, makes this an uncomfortable choice for a straight appreciation play too. Where Huerfano could make sense is for a value-add operator or a land-focused buyer who can acquire below the county median, manufacture equity through renovation or entitlement, and exit to a lifestyle buyer drawn to the area. The affordability index of 70 means there is room below the median to find distressed product, and that's the only realistic entry thesis here.
The data does not include economic anchor employers for Huerfano, so no specific assessment of the employment base or job stability drivers can be made from the provided figures. What the population figure does tell you is that at 6,896 residents, this is a thin market. Rental demand pools are small, tenant turnover is costly in low-density rural counties, and any meaningful supply addition from new investors changes the rental equilibrium quickly. A single vacant unit can represent a meaningful percentage of your portfolio's income if you're operating a small number of doors here.
On carry costs, Huerfano is actually a tailwind relative to most of Colorado. The state-average effective property tax rate of 0.51% is flagged as low, and the combined monthly tax and insurance estimate of $195 on a $278,932 property is genuinely manageable. Annual property tax of $1,423 and insurance of $920 together represent about $2,343 per year, which won't sink an otherwise viable deal. That said, the note on the data is worth taking seriously: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Huerfano County or township-level rates may differ, so confirm the mill levy directly before closing. The low-rate flag is a real advantage relative to Front Range counties where tax burdens can run two to three times this rate.
The concentration risk here is significant and structural. A county of under 7,000 people with essentially zero tracked cash flow and a sub-50 appreciation score has limited liquidity. If you need to exit, your buyer pool is thin, days on market will be long, and you are likely selling to another investor or a lifestyle buyer rather than a deep owner-occupant market. Regulatory risk data isn't provided, but rural Colorado counties at this size generally have minimal short-term rental restrictions compared to resort markets, which could be a factor if a vacation rental strategy fits the location.
Compared to its neighbors, Huerfano falls in the middle of a weak peer group. Otero County prices at $155,797 with an overall score of 54 offers cheaper entry for a cash-flow attempt, though it scores nearly the same. Alamosa County at $316,016 with a 0.047 rent-to-price ratio and a score of 53 is pricier and scores lower. Conejos County at $204,068 and a score of 58 is the strongest scorer in the immediate peer set and offers a lower entry price, making it worth a direct comparison before committing to Huerfano. Lake County at $501,340 and a score of 52 is a hard pass on cash flow at those prices. Pitkin County at $2.5 million median is a completely different asset class. Within this specific group, you'd choose Huerfano over Alamosa or Lake County based on price-to-score efficiency, but Conejos warrants a closer look first given its higher overall score at a lower price point.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -0.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-0.6% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Huerfano County in Colorado scores 55/100, ranking #501 of 1,000 US counties (top 64%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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