Harris County

TexasPopulation: 4,726,177
57
/100
Hold
#2,128 of 3,073 counties
#85 in Texas (243 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 19, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$276,524
Median Home Price
18% above the median US county
$1,583/mo
Median Rent
5% above the median US county
6.87%
Annual Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 23% nationally
-$503
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 7.4% rate

Deep-dive analysis

Scenario comparison

Same $1,583/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 7.40% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$207,393-$120/mo6.0%-3.0%
Median
typical MLS deal
$276,524-$503/mo4.5%-9.5%
125% of median
newer / premium
$345,655-$886/mo3.6%-13.4%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$276,524
Down Payment (20%)$55,305
Loan Amount$221,219
Interest Rate7.40%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,583
Monthly P&I-$1,532
Est. Expenses (35%)-$554
Net Cash Flow-$503/mo
4.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-9.5%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.87%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 7.40% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
57/100
57
Cash Flow(30%)
69/100

Based on 6.87% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
40/100

Based on -2.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
71/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.87%)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-2.0% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$503/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.5% < mortgage rate 7.4%)

Economic Indicators

Population
4,726,177
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Texas counties with similar scores

CountyVerdict
CurrentHarrisTX
57$276,524$1,5836.87%Hold
HendersonTX
57$267,629$1,4086.31%HoldView
ShackelfordTX
57$159,237Est. pending—HoldView
GrayTX
57$104,289Est. pending—HoldView
ZapataTX
57$127,920Est. pending—HoldView
HuntTX
57$271,566$1,5416.81%HoldView

Section 8 in Harris County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldHarris is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Harris County in Texas scores 57/100, ranking #2128 of 3,073 US counties (top 69%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $503/month; the 6.87% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-503/mo
Cap Rate
4.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-9.5%

Related markets

Average rent by city in Harris County

Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.

Ready to Analyze a Deal in Harris?

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