Jewell County
Market Snapshot
Jewell market analysis
Jewell County, Kansas sits at a median home price of $122,766, which places it among the most affordable entry points in the country, ranking in the 95th percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties evaluated and 23rd out of 105 Kansas counties. Year-over-year home price appreciation came in at 10.78%, which is a meaningful number for a county at this price tier. The affordability index scores a perfect 100, and the appreciation score reaches 78 out of 100. What's conspicuously absent from this dataset is any positive cash-flow score, with cash flow, cap rate, and cash-on-cash return all registering at zero, which tells the real story: the rent base here does not support conventional rental math. This is a price-appreciation and land-value story, not an income story.
The investor this market fits is someone buying into price movement at the low end of the valuation curve, not someone underwriting to a cap rate target. At $122,766 median purchase price and 10.78% annual appreciation, the dollar gain per year on a leveraged position is outsized relative to the equity deployed, particularly with a down payment of roughly $24,553. A cash-flow-focused buyer looking for monthly income to service debt and cover expenses will find the numbers here don't close, and the dataset confirms that directly. A pure appreciation buyer with a longer time horizon, willing to hold land or residential assets in a thinly traded rural market, could benefit from the price trajectory shown. Value-add operators face a structural challenge: the population of 2,929 constrains the renter pool sharply, and without demonstrated rental demand in the data, repositioning a distressed asset into a stabilized rental requires assumptions this dataset cannot support.
Economic context for Jewell County is not provided in this data, so no employer base or demand drivers can be cited. What the population figure of 2,929 does communicate directly is that this is a very small, rural county with a correspondingly narrow tenant universe. Any rental vacancy, even a single unit, represents a meaningful percentage of the market's active inventory. Investors who require stable, predictable occupancy should treat the thin population as a structural constraint rather than a temporary condition.
On carry costs, the combined monthly property tax and insurance estimate runs $204, based on a state-average effective tax rate of 1.41% and an insurance rate of 0.58%. The 1.41% rate carries a "normal" flag in this dataset, so it doesn't stand out as either a tailwind or a drag relative to other Kansas markets. That said, this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and county and township rates in rural Kansas can diverge meaningfully from that figure, so underwriting at the actual assessed rate from the Jewell County appraiser's office is worth the extra step before closing. At a $122,766 purchase price, the $1,731 annual tax and $712 annual insurance figures are modest in absolute terms, but in a market where cash flow is already zero by this dataset's measure, every dollar of carry costs matters.
The primary risks here are concentration and demographic. A population under 3,000 means the market is extremely illiquid, both on the rental side and on exit. If you need to sell, the buyer pool is thin and dominated by local owner-occupants or other investors who know the same math you do. There is no diversification within the county's economy that the data reflects, and a small-county rural market in Kansas carries inherent sensitivity to agricultural conditions and outmigration trends, both of which affect long-term demand for housing without showing up in a single year's price appreciation figure.
Against its neighboring counties, Jewell is the most affordable by a notable margin, with Grant County next at $146,433 and Kearny County at the high end among neighbors at $185,891. All five neighbors score within two points of Jewell's overall score of 76, meaning the relative quality of the markets is close, but the price differential is real. Grant County (score 77) and Kearny County (score 77) both score marginally higher overall while carrying median prices 19% and 51% above Jewell, respectively. If your thesis is maximum price appreciation leverage at minimum capital outlay, Jewell's entry point is the lowest of the group. If your thesis requires any rental income to service debt, the cash-flow score of zero suggests you look at the neighboring counties more carefully before committing, since a modestly higher purchase price in a county with demonstrated rental economics will outperform a cheap basis in a market that doesn't cash-flow.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 10.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+10.8% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Jewell County in Kansas scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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