York County
Market Snapshot
York market analysis
York County sits at a median home price of $232,302, up 3.82% year-over-year, with an affordability index of 80, which places it in accessible territory for investors who don't need leverage to pencil a deal. The tool scores it 82 on appreciation and 80 on affordability, but the cash flow score comes in at 0, meaning the data does not support a positive cash-flow case on a standard financed purchase at the current 6.85% rate. That combination, moderate appreciation with compressed or absent cash flow, puts York squarely on the appreciation side of the spectrum rather than the cash-flow side. Investors expecting a check every month from day one will need to run their own numbers carefully, because the financing costs at 6.85% are doing real work against any rent income the asset might generate.
Given that profile, the buyer most suited to York County is someone who can either bring a larger down payment to reduce carry costs, or who has a longer hold horizon and is comfortable with minimal near-term cash flow in exchange for price appreciation. The 82 appreciation score and 3.82% annual price growth suggest the market has been moving, though a 14,212-person county carries concentration risk that an appreciation-focused investor needs to price in. Value-add operators looking to force equity through rehab may find the affordability index of 80 useful, since entry prices are low enough that a well-bought property leaves room for renovation margin. A pure cash-flow buyer targeting, say, a 7%+ cap rate will likely find the math frustrating at this price-to-rent relationship, especially once carry costs are fully loaded.
The property tax picture deserves a hard look before you build your proforma. Nebraska's state-average effective rate is 1.73%, which the Tax Foundation flags as high, and the taxInsurance data here flags it the same way. On a $232,302 purchase, that translates to roughly $4,019 per year in property taxes and $1,347 in insurance, a combined $447 per month before you pay a dollar of mortgage principal or interest. At 6.85% on an 80% LTV loan, that $447 in monthly tax and insurance is a material line item that can turn a borderline deal into a negative-cash-flow property quickly. Worth emphasizing: this is a state-average estimate, and actual county and township rates in York County may differ, so get the exact millage rate from the county assessor before closing.
On the risk side, the stability score of 50 is the number that warrants the most attention. A county of 14,212 people with middling stability is exposed to any single employer contraction, population outflow, or regional economic shift in ways that a larger metro is not. Small-population rural Nebraska markets have historically seen flat-to-declining demand in downturns, and the limited tenant pool means vacancy in a single property can wipe out months of income. There is no economic anchor or employer data provided for York County, so no conclusions can be drawn about job base quality or demand drivers, but the combination of low population and a 50 stability score means an investor should underwrite conservatively on vacancy assumptions and not rely on aggressive rent growth projections to make the numbers work.
Comparing York to its neighbors sharpens the picture. All five neighboring counties score 72 overall, identical to York's 72, so the differentiation is almost entirely on price. Nance County comes in at $197,789 and Scotts Bluff at $187,880, both meaningfully cheaper entry points that could improve cash-flow math at the same rate environment. Seward County at $297,253 is priced roughly 28% higher than York, likely reflecting proximity to Lincoln and stronger appreciation drivers, though it will be harder to cash-flow there too. Dakota County at $228,365 and Otoe County at $231,019 are virtual price peers of York. Given that all neighbors share the same overall score, the decision comes down to why you expect York's appreciation to outperform. If you have a specific thesis, whether local infrastructure investment, population in-migration, or a value-add opportunity at a specific address, York at $232,302 makes sense. If you're comparison shopping on pure numbers with no local edge, Nance or Scotts Bluff offer more price cushion for the same composite score.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 3.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in York County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
York County in Nebraska scores 72/100, ranking #113 of 1,000 US counties (top 14%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
Related markets
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Frequently asked questions
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