Drew market analysis
Drew County sits at a median home price of $158,411, making it one of the more affordable entry points in Arkansas. The affordability index of 96 out of 100 reflects that. Home prices are essentially flat, down 0.12% year-over-year, so there is no meaningful appreciation story here at the moment. The investment estimate fields for cap rate, cash flow, and cash-on-cash return are not populated in the provided data, which limits a full cash-flow underwrite, but the affordability score of 96 paired with a stability score of 50 and an appreciation score of 49 tells you what this market is: low-cost, low-drama, low-upside. It lands at the 65th percentile nationally across 1,000 counties and ranks 16th out of 74 Arkansas counties, which puts it in the upper third of the state without distinguishing itself in any single investment dimension.
The profile here fits a buyer who is primarily motivated by low acquisition cost and wants to minimize capital at risk, not one chasing rent multiples or equity growth. A $158,411 purchase requires only $31,682 down at 20%, which keeps the equity requirement manageable. That said, the cash flow score of 0 is a real flag. Without confirmed rent and expense data, it is impossible to say whether that score reflects a structural rent-to-price problem or simply a data gap, but investors should stress-test this market carefully before assuming cash flow is workable. The appreciation score of 49, combined with a 0.12% price decline, means you are not likely to be rescued by equity gains if the rent math does not work. Value-add operators looking for deeply discounted assets in a low-competition market may find opportunities here, but only if they can confirm local rents independently before closing.
The property tax and insurance carry cost is one of the cleaner parts of this picture. At a state-average effective rate of 0.62%, Arkansas sits in low territory, and that rate is a genuine tailwind for cash-flow math. Annual property tax on a $158,411 purchase comes to approximately $982, and insurance runs roughly $760 annually at the 0.48% state-average rate. Combined, that is $145 per month in tax and insurance, which is meaningfully lower than what investors face in higher-tax states. Keep in mind this is a state-average estimate from the Tax Foundation's 2024 data, and actual Drew County or township rates may differ, so pull the county assessor numbers before finalizing your underwrite. But directionally, the tax burden here is not the problem.
On the risk side, the county's population of 17,309 is the number that deserves the most attention. Small-market concentration risk is real: a single employer contraction, a shift in regional demographics, or a school district decline can move vacancy rates in ways that larger markets absorb more easily. No economic anchor or employer data was provided for Drew County, so there is no way to assess the depth or diversification of the local job base from this dataset. That is itself a due diligence flag. Before committing capital here, an investor needs to independently verify what is driving rental demand in Monticello, the county seat, and whether that demand is durable or tied to a single institution or industry.
The neighboring county comparison adds useful context. Pulaski County, home to Little Rock, carries a median home price of $203,296 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0678, which translates to a gross rent multiple roughly in line with what you would expect from a larger metro. Faulkner County is priced even higher at $250,392 with a 0.0636 ratio. Sebastian County comes in at $198,950 with a 0.0625 ratio. All three of these neighbors have rent and price data populated, which makes underwriting more straightforward there than in Drew. Drew's entry price is $40,000 to $90,000 lower than these markets, but without confirmed rent data it is not possible to determine whether the lower price actually translates to better yield. An investor should choose Drew over these neighbors only if on-the-ground rent research confirms that local gross yields exceed what the larger metros offer, and only if they are comfortable operating in a thin, small-population market where liquidity on exit will be limited. If the goal is a more liquid asset in a market with verifiable rent comps, Pulaski County at a 0.0678 rent-to-price ratio is the more defensible choice.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -0.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-0.1% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Drew County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Drew County in Arkansas scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.