El Paso County

ColoradoPopulation: 730,323
43
/100
Avoid
#721 of 1,000 counties
#33 in Colorado (62 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 20, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$445,559
Median Home Price
94% above national median
$1,761/mo
Median Rent
22% above national median
4.74%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 80% nationally
-$1,190
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Deep-dive analysis

El Paso market analysis

El Paso County posts a 3.08% cap rate against a median home price of $445,559 and median rent of $1,761, producing a gross rent-to-price ratio of 4.74%. At 6.85% financing, the levered math is punishing: a 20% down payment leaves you with a monthly mortgage of $2,336, estimated expenses of $616, and a cash flow of negative $1,190 per month, translating to a cash-on-cash return of -13.93%. The market ranks in the 8th national percentile across 1,000 counties analyzed and sits 33rd out of 62 Colorado counties, so this is not a market where the numbers quietly work in your favor. Home prices are also moving slightly backward, down 1.4% year-over-year, which removes the appreciation cushion that investors in negative-cash-flow positions typically rely on to justify carrying losses.

This market, as the data currently frames it, suits neither the cash-flow buyer nor the near-term appreciation buyer particularly well. The cash-flow score of 41 and cash-on-cash of -13.93% rule out the former unless you are bringing significantly more equity to close. The appreciation score of 43 and a negative price trend rule out using this as a pure appreciation play with borrowed money, at least at this point in the cycle. The investor profile most likely to find a path here is the value-add operator who can manufacture rent growth through renovation or repositioning, pushing rents materially above the $1,761 county median to compress the cash-flow gap, or the well-capitalized buyer with a 35-40% down payment who can get the mortgage payment low enough to break even and hold for long-term gain. The affordability index of 36 signals that most would-be owner-occupants in this market are priced out, which at least sustains rental demand structurally, but it also caps how far rents can grow before you hit tenant affordability ceilings.

On the carry cost side, Colorado's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.51% is genuinely helpful here. The resulting annual tax bill on the median purchase is approximately $2,272, and combined with $1,470 in estimated annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance load is $312. That is a meaningful tailwind relative to high-tax states, and it is worth isolating on your underwrite, though the honest caveat is that this figure uses a state-average estimate and your specific county or township rate may differ. The low property tax flag, alongside a 0.33% insurance rate, means the expense drag from those two line items is more manageable than what you would find in markets like Texas or Illinois at similar price points. It does not rescue the cash flow math at current financing rates, but it narrows the hole.

The stability score of 50 is the one metric that does not embarrass the county, and El Paso's scale matters here. At 730,323 residents, this is the largest county in Colorado by population, centered on Colorado Springs. A market of that size carries diversified economic demand for rental housing across income bands and employment sectors, which reduces the single-tenant or single-industry concentration risk you face in smaller markets. The population base also means you are fishing in a reasonably liquid sales market if you need to exit.

Compared to neighboring counties, the picture is mixed. Teller County, immediately to the northwest, has a rent-to-price ratio of 5.25% versus El Paso's 4.74%, with a median price of $474,315 and median rent of $2,074, and it carries the same overall score of 43. If you are comparing these two on raw yield, Teller is modestly better on the ratio, though the smaller market and thinner liquidity need to be weighed against that. Adams County, at a 4.77% ratio and overall score of 43, is nearly identical to El Paso on the metrics provided, at a slightly higher price point of $476,776. Broomfield County is the clearest market to avoid for cash-flow purposes, with a ratio of just 3.98% and median price of $611,656. Clear Creek County sits between at 4.82% and $552,757. Among the neighbors provided, the case for choosing El Paso over the alternatives comes down to liquidity and scale: if you want a county large enough to absorb multiple acquisitions without moving the market, El Paso is the only option in this peer group. If pure yield ratio is the deciding factor and you can underwrite the smaller market risks, Teller edges it out.

Last analyzed October 20, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for El Paso County.

Scenario comparison

Same $1,761/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$334,170-$607/mo4.1%-9.5%
Median
typical MLS deal
$445,559-$1,190/mo3.1%-13.9%
125% of median
newer / premium
$556,949-$1,774/mo2.5%-16.6%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$445,559
Down Payment (20%)$89,112
Loan Amount$356,447
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,761
Monthly P&I-$2,336
Est. Expenses (35%)-$616
Net Cash Flow-$1,190/mo
3.1%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-13.9%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.74%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.1% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
43/100
43
Cash Flow(30%)
41/100

Based on 4.74% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
43/100

Based on -1.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
36/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.74%)
  • -Declining home values (-1.4% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,190/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
730,323
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
Clear CreekCO
44$552,757$2,2194.82%AvoidView
CurrentEl PasoCO
43$445,559$1,7614.74%Avoid
HuerfanoCO
43$255,971Est. pending—AvoidView
AdamsCO
43$476,776$1,8954.77%AvoidView
TellerCO
43$474,315$2,0745.25%AvoidView
BroomfieldCO
42$611,656$2,0313.98%AvoidView

Section 8 in El Paso County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

AvoidEl Paso may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

El Paso County in Colorado scores 43/100, ranking #721 of 1,000 US counties (top 92%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1190/month; the 4.74% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,190/mo
Cap Rate
3.1%
Cash-on-Cash
-13.9%

Related markets

Average rent by city in El Paso County

Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.

Frequently asked questions

El Paso County has an average cap rate of 3.08%, which is relatively low and indicates limited cash flow potential for typical rental investments in the market.

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