Deep-dive analysis
El Paso market analysis
El Paso County posts a 3.08% cap rate against a median home price of $445,559 and median rent of $1,761, producing a gross rent-to-price ratio of 4.74%. At 6.85% financing, the levered math is punishing: a 20% down payment leaves you with a monthly mortgage of $2,336, estimated expenses of $616, and a cash flow of negative $1,190 per month, translating to a cash-on-cash return of -13.93%. The market ranks in the 8th national percentile across 1,000 counties analyzed and sits 33rd out of 62 Colorado counties, so this is not a market where the numbers quietly work in your favor. Home prices are also moving slightly backward, down 1.4% year-over-year, which removes the appreciation cushion that investors in negative-cash-flow positions typically rely on to justify carrying losses.
This market, as the data currently frames it, suits neither the cash-flow buyer nor the near-term appreciation buyer particularly well. The cash-flow score of 41 and cash-on-cash of -13.93% rule out the former unless you are bringing significantly more equity to close. The appreciation score of 43 and a negative price trend rule out using this as a pure appreciation play with borrowed money, at least at this point in the cycle. The investor profile most likely to find a path here is the value-add operator who can manufacture rent growth through renovation or repositioning, pushing rents materially above the $1,761 county median to compress the cash-flow gap, or the well-capitalized buyer with a 35-40% down payment who can get the mortgage payment low enough to break even and hold for long-term gain. The affordability index of 36 signals that most would-be owner-occupants in this market are priced out, which at least sustains rental demand structurally, but it also caps how far rents can grow before you hit tenant affordability ceilings.
On the carry cost side, Colorado's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.51% is genuinely helpful here. The resulting annual tax bill on the median purchase is approximately $2,272, and combined with $1,470 in estimated annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance load is $312. That is a meaningful tailwind relative to high-tax states, and it is worth isolating on your underwrite, though the honest caveat is that this figure uses a state-average estimate and your specific county or township rate may differ. The low property tax flag, alongside a 0.33% insurance rate, means the expense drag from those two line items is more manageable than what you would find in markets like Texas or Illinois at similar price points. It does not rescue the cash flow math at current financing rates, but it narrows the hole.
The stability score of 50 is the one metric that does not embarrass the county, and El Paso's scale matters here. At 730,323 residents, this is the largest county in Colorado by population, centered on Colorado Springs. A market of that size carries diversified economic demand for rental housing across income bands and employment sectors, which reduces the single-tenant or single-industry concentration risk you face in smaller markets. The population base also means you are fishing in a reasonably liquid sales market if you need to exit.
Compared to neighboring counties, the picture is mixed. Teller County, immediately to the northwest, has a rent-to-price ratio of 5.25% versus El Paso's 4.74%, with a median price of $474,315 and median rent of $2,074, and it carries the same overall score of 43. If you are comparing these two on raw yield, Teller is modestly better on the ratio, though the smaller market and thinner liquidity need to be weighed against that. Adams County, at a 4.77% ratio and overall score of 43, is nearly identical to El Paso on the metrics provided, at a slightly higher price point of $476,776. Broomfield County is the clearest market to avoid for cash-flow purposes, with a ratio of just 3.98% and median price of $611,656. Clear Creek County sits between at 4.82% and $552,757. Among the neighbors provided, the case for choosing El Paso over the alternatives comes down to liquidity and scale: if you want a county large enough to absorb multiple acquisitions without moving the market, El Paso is the only option in this peer group. If pure yield ratio is the deciding factor and you can underwrite the smaller market risks, Teller edges it out.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $334,170 | -$607/mo | 4.1% | -9.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $445,559 | -$1,190/mo | 3.1% | -13.9% |
125% of median newer / premium | $556,949 | -$1,774/mo | 2.5% | -16.6% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 4.74% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on -1.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.74%)
- -Declining home values (-1.4% YoY)
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,190/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
- −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in El Paso County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
El Paso County in Colorado scores 43/100, ranking #721 of 1,000 US counties (top 92%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1190/month; the 4.74% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like El Paso with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to El Paso
Head-to-head comparisons
Average rent by city in El Paso County
- Average rent in Colorado Springs$1,780/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.