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Market MapColoradoJefferson

Jefferson County

ColoradoPopulation: 580,519
33
/100
Avoid
#773 of 1,000 counties
#53 in Colorado (62 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 13, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$630,306
Median Home Price
175% above national median
$1,952/mo
Median Rent
35% above national median
3.72%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 97% nationally
-$2,036
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,952/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$472,730-$1,210/mo3.2%-13.3%
Median
typical MLS deal
$630,306-$2,036/mo2.4%-16.9%
125% of median
newer / premium
$787,883-$2,862/mo1.9%-18.9%

Price History

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$630,306
Down Payment (20%)$126,061
Loan Amount$504,245
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,952
Monthly P&I-$3,304
Est. Expenses (35%)-$683
Net Cash Flow-$2,036/mo
2.4%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-16.9%
Cash-on-Cash Return
3.72%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 2.4% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
33/100
33
Cash Flow(30%)
26/100

Based on 3.72% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
38/100

Based on -2.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
15/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (3.72%)
  • -Declining home values (-2.3% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$2,036/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 2.4% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
580,519
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
DenverCO
37$532,579$1,8594.19%AvoidView
BoulderCO
37$702,437$2,4654.21%AvoidView
RouttCO
36$1,086,367$3,4443.80%AvoidView
GrandCO
34$752,023$2,3353.73%AvoidView
CurrentJeffersonCO
33$630,306$1,9523.72%Avoid
SummitCO
33$988,060$3,1663.84%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidJefferson may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Jefferson County in Colorado scores 33/100, ranking #773 of 1,000 US counties (top 99%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $2036/month; the 3.72% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-2,036/mo
Cap Rate
2.4%
Cash-on-Cash
-16.9%

Related markets

Markets like Jefferson with stronger cash flow

  • Boulder County for cash-flow rentals
  • Denver County for cash-flow rentals
  • Summit County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Jefferson

  • Denver County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Jefferson vs Summit for rentals
  • Jefferson vs Grand for rentals
  • Jefferson vs Routt for rentals
All counties in Colorado →

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