Ouray County
Market Snapshot
Ouray market analysis
Ouray County posts a median home price of $812,236 and a cap rate of zero, which tells you almost everything you need to know before reading another word. There is no rent-to-price ratio in the data, no estimated cash flow, and no monthly mortgage figure supplied, but the purchase price alone relative to any realistic rental income in a county of fewer than 5,000 people makes the cash-flow math brutal. At 4.35% year-over-year price appreciation and an affordability index of 7 out of 100, this market sits firmly at the appreciation end of the spectrum, and even that positioning comes with asterisks. The appreciation score of 84 is the one number that argues for owning here; everything else argues against it for a conventional buy-and-hold rental strategy.
The appreciation score of 84 makes Ouray legible for exactly one type of buyer: someone who is comfortable parking capital in an illiquid, low-population mountain asset and waiting for price gains to do the heavy lifting. Cash-flow buyers should stop reading here. The cash-flow score is literally zero, the overall score is 51 out of 100, and the county ranks at the 27th percentile nationally across 1,000 counties. A value-add operator faces the same problem: compressing a cap rate that is already at zero by adding units or raising rents is arithmetically difficult when the denominator is an $812,000 purchase price. The only realistic entry thesis is long-hold appreciation in a supply-constrained, scenically irreplaceable location, and even then the investor needs to underwrite the carry entirely from outside income, not rental proceeds.
On the carry side, the tax and insurance picture is one of the few genuine tailwinds. Colorado's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.51%, which the Tax Foundation classifies as low, and that translates to roughly $4,142 in annual property tax on an $812,000 asset. Add $2,680 in estimated annual insurance and the combined monthly tax-plus-insurance burden is approximately $569. For a county at this price point, that number is materially below what you would expect, and it softens the carry cost relative to higher-tax states. Keep in mind this is a state-average estimate; actual Ouray County or township rates may differ, so confirm the local mill levy before closing. The low-rate flag is a real tailwind, not a caveat, but it does not rescue the cash-flow equation when the mortgage alone at 6.85% on an $812,236 purchase with 20% down is well north of $4,000 per month.
No economic anchors are supplied in the data, so this analysis will not speculate on employers or industries. What the population figure of 4,936 does tell you is that Ouray is one of the smallest counties in Colorado by headcount, which means the rental demand pool is thin and highly seasonal. A single large employer departure, a tourism downturn, or a shift in short-term rental regulations could move the local market in ways that a larger metro would absorb without a ripple. With a stability score of 50, the data reflects that fragility. Concentration risk here is structural, not cyclical: a county this small with a price point this high is by definition dependent on a narrow, relatively affluent buyer and renter universe.
Comparing Ouray to its neighbors sharpens the picture considerably. Pueblo County carries a median home price of $281,540 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0553, one of the more favorable ratios in the region and nearly three times more affordable by median price. Mesa County at $421,486 and a 0.0479 ratio, Montrose County at $444,341 and 0.0496, Morgan County at $332,603 and 0.0511, and Delta County at $415,087 and 0.0458 all deliver meaningfully better rent coverage relative to purchase price. Every single neighbor in this dataset produces an overall score of 50 or 51, functionally identical to Ouray's 51, but they do so at prices between one-half and one-third of Ouray's median. If you are deploying the same $162,000 down payment, you can buy into Pueblo, Morgan, or Montrose at a price point where rental income has a plausible chance of covering debt service.
Choose Ouray over any of these neighbors only if your thesis is explicitly appreciation-driven, you have the liquidity to carry a zero-cash-flow property through rate cycles and vacancy, and you believe the supply constraints of a mountain county with fewer than 5,000 residents will continue pushing prices upward faster than your alternatives. If any part of your underwrite depends on rental income to service debt, Pueblo or Montrose delivers comparable overall scores at a fraction of the capital requirement.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 4.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
No significant strengths identified based on current data.
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Ouray County in Colorado scores 51/100, ranking #575 of 1,000 US counties (top 73%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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