Decatur County
Market Snapshot
Decatur market analysis
Decatur County, Georgia sits at a median home price of $172,663 with 5.5% year-over-year appreciation, an affordability index of 93, and lands at the 98th percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties ranked, third in Georgia out of 159. Those rankings are driven overwhelmingly by the appreciation score of 87 and the affordability score of 93, not by cash flow. The data does not provide a cap rate, rent estimate, or cash-on-cash return for this county, which itself signals something worth noting: the investment case here is built on price trajectory and entry-point affordability, not on day-one yield. At $172,663 median, you are buying into a market where prices are moving upward at a measurable pace while the purchase price remains accessible relative to income levels in the region.
The investor this market suits is one prioritizing appreciation and low entry cost over immediate cash flow. An affordability index of 93 means the median home is well within reach for local buyers, which tends to support price floors, reduce foreclosure risk, and maintain demand for the asset class over time. The 5.5% annual price gain is not explosive, but it is consistent and outpaces many peer counties in the state. A value-add operator can find opportunity here precisely because prices are still low enough that even modest forced appreciation through renovation creates meaningful equity gains on a percentage basis. A pure cash-flow buyer, however, should approach carefully: without a published cap rate or rent-to-price ratio for Decatur County itself, underwriting carry costs becomes the central exercise, and the numbers available do not yet support projecting a positive spread with confidence.
The stability score of 50 is the honest counterweight in this dataset. It sits at the midpoint, meaning this is not a market with the diversified employment base or population density that buffers vacancy cycles. A population of 29,063 means the rental pool is relatively shallow, and absorption of new units or vacancy from a single employer disruption can move the needle quickly. No economic anchor data was provided, so this analysis cannot point to specific employers or industries underwriting rental demand. What the stability score tells you is that Decatur County likely depends on a limited number of demand drivers, and that concentration risk is real even if it is not quantified here.
On carrying costs, the monthly tax and insurance figure of $184 is manageable and should not by itself derail a deal. The state-average effective property tax rate of 0.92% carries a "normal" flag, meaning it is neither a headwind nor a meaningful tailwind relative to Georgia peers. That said, the note attached to this figure is worth taking seriously: 0.92% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county or township assessments in Decatur County may differ. Pull the county assessor's current millage rate before finalizing any underwrite rather than relying on the state figure. Insurance runs roughly $52 per month at the modeled rate, which is consistent with rural south Georgia exposure. Neither line item is alarming, but together at $184 monthly they need to be absorbed by rent in a market where that rent figure is not yet confirmed in the available data.
Looking at the neighboring counties, Lanier County is the one with a directly comparable data point: median home price of $210,778 and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.098, implying a monthly rent around $1,723. That ratio of nearly 10% annualized is notably higher than what a typical appreciation-focused market shows, suggesting Lanier may offer better cash-flow characteristics but at a higher entry price and an overall score of 73 versus Decatur's 78. Sumter County comes in cheaper at $136,878 and scores 80 overall, marginally ahead of Decatur, which makes it worth a direct comparison if entry price minimization is the primary lever. Toombs, Tattnall, and Cook Counties all score 68 to 72, below Decatur on every metric, so Decatur is already the strongest performer in this immediate peer group. The case for choosing Decatur over its neighbors is clearest when an investor wants the combination of a sub-$175,000 median, above-average appreciation trajectory, and a top-3 statewide ranking. If the goal shifts to confirmed cash flow with published rent data, Lanier's 9.8% gross yield ratio becomes the more attractive number, assuming the investor can accept higher price and a lower overall score.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.5% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Decatur County in Georgia scores 78/100, ranking #14 of 1,000 US counties (top 2%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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