Bartholomew market analysis
Bartholomew County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.04%, which places it squarely in the middle of the cash-flow-versus-appreciation spectrum, leaning slightly toward appreciation. The cap rate at current prices comes in at 3.93%, which is not going to excite anyone running a yield-first strategy, but it is not a disaster either. Home prices rose 2.45% year-over-year, a modest but positive signal that values are moving in the right direction without the froth that compresses future yields further. The affordability index of 71 suggests the market remains accessible relative to incomes, which matters because a tenant base that can absorb rent is the prerequisite for any cash-flow story. The overall score of 64 out of 100, landing at the 65th national percentile, tells you this is a decent market rather than an exceptional one.
The numbers make a clear case that Bartholomew County is primarily an appreciation play, not a cash-flow engine. Financed at 6.85% on a 20% down purchase of a median-priced property at $274,111, the model produces a monthly mortgage of $1,437 against median rent of $1,380. Add $483 in estimated monthly expenses and the cash-on-cash return lands at negative 10.28%, with an estimated cash flow of negative $540 per month. That is a significant carry burden, and any investor who cannot stomach monthly subsidization should look elsewhere. The investor this county suits is someone with conviction on the appreciation trajectory, patient capital, and enough reserves to hold through negative monthly cash flow while waiting for rent growth or price appreciation to close the gap. A value-add operator who can acquire below median and push rents above median has a more defensible entry, but even then the carry costs at current financing rates are punishing.
The combined monthly tax and insurance burden on a median-priced property is estimated at $258, using Indiana's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.85% and an insurance rate of 0.28%. Neither figure is alarming. The tax rate carries a "normal" flag, meaning it is neither a tailwind nor a headwind that deserves special treatment, though at $2,330 annually it is a real number on your underwrite. The honest caveat here is that 0.85% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Bartholomew County township rates may differ, so verify at the local assessor before finalizing your pro forma.
The stability score of 50 is the number that should give a careful investor pause. It is the weakest score in Bartholomew's profile, sitting meaningfully below the cash-flow score of 60 and the appreciation score of 75. A stability score at the midpoint often reflects concentration risk or demographic sensitivity, and while the data provided does not give specifics on employer concentration, an 82,000-person county with no economic anchor data surfaced is worth independent due diligence on the local employer base before committing. If one or two large employers drive the rental demand in Columbus, IN (the county seat), that concentration would show up exactly this way: decent appreciation and affordability scores, with stability lagging because the demand base is thinner than a more diversified metro.
Comparing Bartholomew to its neighbors sharpens the decision. Monroe County is the standout on yield metrics, with a rent-to-price ratio of 7.46% and median rent of $1,888 against a median price of $303,732; that combination suggests a materially better income story, likely driven by university demand in Bloomington. Lake County, at a 7.02% ratio with a median price of $243,537, offers the highest yield in the peer group at a lower entry point. Hancock County has a higher entry price ($321,689) but a slightly better ratio than Bartholomew at 6.26%, and could suit an investor who wants suburban Indianapolis exposure at a premium. Montgomery County and Floyd County both trail Bartholomew on rent-to-price (5.42% and 5.38% respectively), making them harder to justify on yield grounds without a stronger appreciation thesis. The case for choosing Bartholomew over its neighbors comes down to this: you believe the 2.45% annual price appreciation continues, you accept the cash flow deficit, and you prefer Bartholomew's affordability index of 71 over Monroe County's likely tighter affordability given Bloomington's university-driven demand dynamics. If cash flow matters to you at all in the near term, Monroe or Lake County deserves serious comparative underwriting before you land in Bartholomew.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $205,583 | -$181/mo | 5.2% | -4.6% |
Median typical MLS deal | $274,111 | -$540/mo | 3.9% | -10.3% |
125% of median newer / premium | $342,639 | -$899/mo | 3.1% | -13.7% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.04% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$540/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.9% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Bartholomew County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Bartholomew County in Indiana scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $540/month; the 6.04% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.