Floyd market analysis
Floyd County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 5.08%, which puts it squarely in appreciation territory rather than cash-flow territory. At a $285,954 median home price and $1,211 median rent, the numbers leave very little room for debt service at today's rates. Running a conventional 20% down purchase at 6.85%, the modeled monthly mortgage comes to $1,499 against a rent of $1,211, producing an estimated cash flow of negative $712 per month and a cash-on-cash return of negative 12.99%. The cap rate of 3.3% sits well below any threshold where a leveraged buyer breaks even. Year-over-year appreciation of 2.74% is real but modest, not enough on its own to compensate for the carry loss unless the investor has a longer time horizon and meaningful conviction on price trajectory. The market's overall score of 59 out of 100, with an appreciation score of 77 and a cash-flow score of 46, confirms exactly this split: Floyd is scoring as a hold-and-appreciate story, not an income story.
Given those numbers, the buyer who belongs here is an appreciation-oriented investor, ideally one who can close with equity or bring a substantially larger down payment to restructure the cash-flow picture. At 20% down with a $57,191 equity position, the monthly shortfall is $712, which is a steep carry cost for a market with a 2.74% appreciation rate. A 35% or 40% down payment compresses the mortgage payment and moves the cash flow closer to neutral, making the appreciation upside more defensible. Value-add operators who can push rents meaningfully above the $1,211 median through renovation or repositioning are the other viable buyer type here, since the problem is not the purchase price alone but the spread between rents and financing costs. Pure cash-flow buyers looking for positive returns on leveraged purchases will find Floyd County frustrating on paper and should look elsewhere.
Floyd County's position along the Ohio River, directly across from Louisville, Kentucky, is its most significant economic characteristic from a rental demand standpoint. The Louisville metro is a substantially larger labor market than any Indiana county can anchor on its own, and Floyd County functions as a bedroom community for workers priced into Indiana by Louisville's housing costs. That dynamic supports occupancy stability even if rent growth tracks Indiana rather than Kentucky markets. The affordability index of 69 suggests residents can still afford to buy, which means the investor competes with homeownership as an alternative for prospective tenants, a headwind to rent growth but also a signal that the tenant base is financially stable rather than distressed.
The tax and insurance picture is a tailwind here, not a headwind. At Indiana's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.85%, annual property tax on a $285,954 purchase runs approximately $2,431, and insurance at an estimated 0.28% adds another $801 annually. Combined, that is $269 per month in tax and insurance carry, which is below average for a Midwest market at this price point and meaningfully better than what investors in high-tax states face on comparable assets. That said, the 0.85% figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Floyd County or township rates may differ, so verify the assessor's current rate before finalizing your underwrite. Even with that caveat, the carry cost structure is a relative positive in a deal where every expense line matters.
The primary risk in Floyd County is concentration: the market's investment case rests heavily on Louisville spillover demand, and any structural shift in the Louisville economy, or a meaningful narrowing of the Kentucky-Indiana price differential, would reduce the county's relative appeal as a bedroom market. The county's population of approximately 80,191 is not large enough to generate robust self-sustaining rental demand independent of the Louisville metro, which means rental performance here is partly a bet on a neighboring state's economy. There are no regulatory or vacancy data points in the provided data that would flag additional concerns, so those risks remain unquantified here.
Compared to the five neighboring counties in the dataset, Floyd's rent-to-price ratio of 5.08% is neither the worst nor the best option available. Porter County at 5.50% and Tippecanoe County at 6.35% both offer more favorable rent-to-price ratios, with Tippecanoe reaching $1,526 in median rent against a $288,668 price point, a substantially better income setup for a leveraged buyer. Hendricks County at 6.24% is similarly more favorable on income metrics, though its $334,633 median price raises the entry cost. Hamilton County at $450,547 and a 4.88% ratio is the most expensive and least cash-flow-friendly in the group. Kosciusko County at 4.88% sits at the bottom of the group on income yield despite a lower entry price of $272,509. An investor choosing Floyd over its neighbors is making a specific bet on Louisville proximity and appreciation potential. An investor prioritizing income and debt coverage should look hard at Tippecanoe County first, which scores a point higher overall and delivers nearly $315 more in monthly rent on essentially the same purchase price.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $214,466 | -$337/mo | 4.4% | -8.2% |
Median typical MLS deal | $285,954 | -$712/mo | 3.3% | -13.0% |
125% of median newer / premium | $357,443 | -$1,087/mo | 2.6% | -15.9% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 5.08% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (5.08%)
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$712/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.3% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Floyd County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Floyd County in Indiana scores 59/100, ranking #402 of 1,000 US counties (top 51%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $712/month; the 5.08% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.