Lagrange market analysis
Lagrange County, Indiana sits at a median home price of $348,227, which is meaningfully above what you'd find in most neighboring Indiana counties, yet the data assigns it a cash-flow score of 0 and shows no cap rate or cash-on-cash return. That combination tells you what you need to know before reading another word: this is not a market where you buy a house, rent it out, and clear positive monthly cash flow without significant effort. The appreciation score of 85 and an 8.06% year-over-year price gain put Lagrange firmly on the appreciation end of the spectrum. The affordability index of 55 out of 100 signals that prices have outrun local income to a degree that compresses the rent-to-price ratio, which is why cash-flow metrics come up empty here. For a buy-and-hold investor underwriting to day-one cash flow, the numbers as presented don't pencil.
That said, the appreciation profile is genuinely worth attention for a specific type of buyer. An 8.06% year-over-year price gain combined with a top-30th-percentile national ranking (233rd out of 1,000 counties, 70th percentile) reflects a market that has been moving. An appreciation-oriented investor, one who is comfortable covering a modest monthly shortfall in exchange for equity build and price upside, is the natural fit here. The value-add operator could also find an angle if distressed or underpriced assets can be acquired below the $348,227 median, narrowing the gap between purchase cost and what rents will support. Neither strategy comes without risk at this price point, and a cash-flow buyer targeting positive day-one returns should look elsewhere in Indiana's county landscape before landing here.
The county's population sits at just over 40,000, which puts it in small-county territory. Lagrange County is home to a significant Amish and Plain community, which shapes local commerce, construction trades, and housing stock in ways that don't show up in standard economic data but are material to an investor. Tourism tied to Shipshewana, one of the larger Amish market destinations in the Midwest, generates hospitality and retail activity. That demand pattern can support certain short-term rental strategies better than standard long-term residential rentals, though regulatory risk around short-term rentals in rural Indiana should be underwritten carefully before assuming that as a base case.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure lands at $328, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.85% and an insurance rate of 0.28%. The tax rate is flagged as normal, so it doesn't represent an outsized drag the way a 1.5%-plus rate would in certain Midwest markets. Still, at a $348,227 purchase price, $2,960 in annual property taxes and $975 in annual insurance are real line items. Keep in mind that the 0.85% figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county and township assessments in Lagrange may differ, so pull the county assessor's current mill rates before finalizing your underwrite rather than relying on the state average as a proxy.
The primary risks in Lagrange are concentration and scale. A market of 40,364 people with a median price above $348,000 has a limited renter pool relative to the capital required to buy. If employment in the local area softens, the tenant universe is thin enough that vacancy could move quickly. Demographic concentration in a rural, culturally distinct county also means that demand is not fungible with broader metro-area rental markets, so assume a longer re-leasing timeline in your vacancy assumptions. On the regulatory side, rural Indiana has historically been landlord-friendly, but any short-term rental or value-add strategy should be confirmed against local zoning before acquisition.
Compared to the neighboring counties in the data, Lagrange carries the highest median price by a material margin. Marion County at $226,825 offers a gross rent-to-price ratio of 7.23%, Bartholomew at $267,460 comes in at 6.07%, Morgan at $294,017 runs 6.59%, and Clark at $257,026 sits at 6.06%. All four provide better observable rent-to-price ratios than what the Lagrange data supports at its median price, which explains why cash-flow buyers should likely start with Marion or Morgan rather than Lagrange. Marion County in particular, at the Indianapolis metro level, combines lower entry cost with the deepest tenant pool of the group. You choose Lagrange over these neighbors specifically when you have conviction in continued price appreciation in northern Indiana's Amish-belt corridor, are buying below the median through value-add or off-market sourcing, or are structuring around a short-term rental thesis tied to Shipshewana tourism demand. Otherwise, the rent-to-price math in the neighboring counties is simply more favorable to a standard rental underwrite.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 8.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+8.1% YoY)
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Lagrange County in Indiana scores 66/100, ranking #233 of 1,000 US counties (top 30%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.