Orange market analysis
Orange County, Indiana sits at a median home price of $186,729, has posted 5.21% year-over-year appreciation, and carries an affordability index of 90 out of 100. The data does not include a populated cap rate, monthly rent estimate, or cash-on-cash return, which means the cash flow score comes in at zero and any cash-flow underwrite would need to be built from local rent comps the investor sources independently. What the data does tell you is that this county ranks in the 96th percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties analyzed and sits 7th in Indiana out of 92, driven almost entirely by its appreciation score of 87 and its affordability score of 90. The combination of a still-affordable entry price and above-average price momentum places Orange County clearly on the appreciation end of the spectrum rather than the yield end.
That profile fits one buyer well: the appreciation-oriented investor who wants to buy below the state median, capture price growth, and is not relying on day-one cash flow to carry the asset. At $186,729 with a 20% down payment of $37,346, the entry bar is low relative to most appreciation-oriented markets nationally. The 5.21% YoY price gain is meaningful for a county of under 20,000 people, and the 90 affordability score suggests prices have not yet run ahead of local incomes to the point where demand gets choked off. A cash-flow buyer or anyone underwriting to a minimum gross yield threshold will struggle here without independent rent data confirming that rents are high enough relative to the purchase price to clear expenses. A value-add operator who can force appreciation through renovation and then refinance or sell into a rising price environment is a reasonable fit, but that thesis depends on exit price assumptions that need local comp validation.
Without employer or economic anchor data provided, the local demand drivers behind the appreciation trend cannot be identified from this dataset. Investors considering Orange County should conduct their own due diligence on employment concentration, major employers, and commuter patterns before committing to an appreciation thesis that assumes sustained rental demand.
On carry costs, the tax and insurance picture is straightforward. Indiana's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.85%, flagged as normal, and the homeowners insurance rate comes in at 0.28%. Together those produce an estimated $1,587 in annual property tax and $523 in annual insurance, or roughly $176 per month combined. That $176 figure is a real number in any monthly cash-flow model and at a $186,729 purchase price it is neither a tailwind nor a burden that requires special attention. The 0.85% rate is manageable. That said, this is a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county and township rates in Orange County may differ, so confirm the local assessor's rate before finalizing any underwrite.
The primary risk here is data scarcity, not a flaw in the market itself. A county of 19,768 people is a thin market. Thin markets mean fewer comps, less liquidity on exit, longer days-on-market during downturns, and higher sensitivity to a single employer closing or a demographic shift. The 5.21% appreciation rate is encouraging but small-population counties can show volatile year-over-year swings that smooth out when averaged over a longer horizon. An investor should look at five-year price trends, not just the trailing twelve months, before treating that number as a baseline assumption. No vacancy or crime data is present in this dataset, so no commentary on those dimensions is warranted.
Among the neighboring counties, Delaware County is the clearest comparison point because it carries actual rent data: a median rent of $1,071 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.080, which annualizes to roughly a 9.6% gross yield on the median home price of $160,460. That is a materially better starting point for a cash-flow buyer than Orange County's current data allows. Miami County shows a rent-to-price ratio of 0.072 at a $163,132 median, also more yield-friendly. Greene County comes in at $198,077 with a slightly higher overall score of 78, and Newton County at $218,351 with a score of 73. Orange County's case over its neighbors rests entirely on its 96th-percentile national ranking, its appreciation score of 87, and its lower price point relative to Greene and Newton. Choose Orange County if the thesis is price growth and affordability-driven demand in a still-inexpensive market. Choose Delaware County if the thesis is gross yield and cash-flow coverage, where the published rent data gives you something to underwrite against on day one.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.2% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Orange County in Indiana scores 77/100, ranking #30 of 1,000 US counties (top 4%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.