Wayne County

IndianaPopulation: 66,522
72
/100
Hold
#113 of 1,000 counties
#29 in Indiana (92 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 20, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$173,653
Median Home Price
24% below national median
$901/mo
Median Rent
38% below national median
6.23%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 45% nationally
-$324
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Wayne market analysis

Wayne County sits at a 6.23% gross rent-to-price ratio, which places it in the middle ground between pure cash-flow market and pure appreciation play. At a median home price of $173,653 and median rent of $901, the raw yield looks attractive on paper, but the modeled underwrite tells a more complicated story: at 6.85% financing, the all-in monthly mortgage of $910 already exceeds gross rent before a single expense hits the ledger. Add $315 in estimated monthly expenses and the model spits out negative $324/month in cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -9.73%. The cap rate of 4.05% is the more honest number to anchor to, and it tells you this market requires either significant equity compression, below-market acquisition, or value-add execution to pencil on a leveraged basis. The appreciation score of 90 out of 100 and a 6.48% year-over-year home price gain suggest the market has real price momentum, which partially explains why yields haven't compressed further: prices are moving faster than rents can keep up.

The investor this market suits best is someone running one of two playbooks. First, the appreciation buyer who is comfortable with mild negative carry in the near term and is betting that 6.48% annual price growth continues to build equity faster than the monthly drag erodes returns. With a median price of $173,653 and an affordability index of 93, entry points remain accessible relative to income, which historically sustains appreciation longer than markets where buyers are already stretched. Second, the value-add operator who can acquire below the $173,653 median, force appreciation through renovation, and refi into a better basis once rents and equity support it. The cash-flow score of 62 out of 100 reflects that market-rate acquisitions don't produce positive leverage at current rates, but off-market deals bought at a 15-20% discount to median could shift that materially. A pure cash-flow buyer who needs day-one positive returns from a conventional financed deal should look elsewhere in this data set.

The stability score of 50 out of 100 is the number that deserves the most attention in an underwrite. It sits exactly at the midpoint, signaling neither a tight, low-vacancy rental market nor a deteriorating one. A population of 66,522 is small enough that a single large employer contraction can move vacancy meaningfully. No economic anchor data was provided for Wayne County, so no specific employer analysis can be made here, but the population size alone is a flag worth pricing into your assumptions on vacancy and re-tenanting time when stress-testing the model.

On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden of $164 is already baked into the $315 estimated expenses figure. Indiana's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.85%, which is flagged as normal, and at that level it doesn't represent an outsized drag the way a 1.5%+ rate would. That said, the note accompanying this data is worth keeping in mind: the 0.85% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county and township rates in Wayne can differ. Pull the county assessor's current levy before finalizing any underwrite. The insurance rate of 0.28% produces $486 annually, which is reasonable and not a meaningful source of underwriting risk on its own.

Comparing Wayne to its neighbors sharpens the value proposition. Howard County is the most direct apples-to-apples comparison: median price of $185,850 versus Wayne's $173,653, but Howard's rent of $1,005 against Wayne's $901 gives Howard a 6.49% gross yield versus Wayne's 6.23%. Both counties score identically at 72 overall, but Howard's rent-to-price ratio is marginally better, making it the sharper cash-flow option of the two if you're running close comparisons. Lagrange County at $322,425 and Whitley County at $272,520 are both significantly more expensive with the same 72 overall score, meaning you're paying a large price premium for equivalent overall quality. Orange County at $182,101 scores 73 overall, edging Wayne slightly, and at a close price point it warrants a direct rent comparison before choosing between them. Jefferson County at $231,468 scores 71, trails Wayne, and costs more. The case for choosing Wayne over most of these neighbors comes down to entry price: at $173,653, Wayne is the cheapest median in this peer group, and if the appreciation trajectory holds, the equity upside on a lower basis compounds faster. Choose Wayne if your thesis is price entry and appreciation; choose Howard if you need the extra rent yield to get closer to breakeven on leverage.

Last analyzed October 20, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Wayne County.

Scenario comparison

Same $901/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$130,240-$96/mo5.4%-3.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$173,653-$324/mo4.0%-9.7%
125% of median
newer / premium
$217,067-$552/mo3.2%-13.3%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$173,653
Down Payment (20%)$34,731
Loan Amount$138,922
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$901
Monthly P&I-$910
Est. Expenses (35%)-$315
Net Cash Flow-$324/mo
4.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-9.7%
Cash-on-Cash Return
6.23%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 4.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
72/100
72
Cash Flow(30%)
62/100

Based on 6.23% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
90/100

Based on 6.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
93/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Strong price appreciation (+6.5% YoY)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$324/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
66,522
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
  • +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Institutional or out-of-state investors who target appreciation markets
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
OrangeIN
73$182,101Est. pending—BuyView
CurrentWayneIN
72$173,653$9016.23%Buy
LagrangeIN
72$322,425Est. pending—BuyView
HowardIN
72$185,850$1,0066.49%BuyView
WhitleyIN
72$272,520Est. pending—BuyView
JeffersonIN
71$231,468Est. pending—BuyView

Section 8 in Wayne County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldWayne scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $324/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Wayne County in Indiana scores 72/100, ranking #113 of 1,000 US counties (top 14%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $324/month; the 6.23% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-324/mo
Cap Rate
4.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-9.7%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

Wayne County's average cap rate is 4.05%, which is moderate for Midwestern markets and reflects the county's balanced risk-return profile.

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