Henry County
Market Snapshot
Henry market analysis
Henry County sits at a median home price of $195,517, up 5.46% year-over-year, with an affordability index of 88, meaning it scores well below the national affordability threshold in a way that favors buyers rather than renters. The dataset does not supply a cap rate or cash-on-cash figure, which is itself informative: the cash flow score registers at zero, a signal that at current prices and a 6.85% interest rate environment, the numbers after debt service are tight to negative on a straight acquisition. What the county does show is a 95th-percentile national ranking overall (40th out of 1,000 counties tracked), driven almost entirely by its appreciation score of 87 and affordability score of 88. This is a market that pencils better on paper as an appreciation and equity-build play than as a day-one cash flow engine.
That positioning tells you exactly who this market suits and who it does not. A pure cash flow buyer hunting monthly spread above the mortgage line should look elsewhere or underwrite with a larger down payment than the standard 20%, since the zero cash flow score reflects how thin the rent-to-price relationship is at $195,517 with a 6.85% rate. The appreciation buyer, however, has a real case: an 87 appreciation score alongside 5.46% trailing price growth in a sub-$200K market is a combination that rarely appears at the national 95th percentile. A value-add operator who can force equity through renovation in an affordable price tier, then refinance or sell into a market that has been compressing, also fits, provided they model the carry carefully during the repositioning period.
The taxInsurance data deserves direct attention in any underwrite. Iowa's state-average effective property tax rate of 1.53% is flagged here as high, and on a $195,517 purchase that translates to roughly $2,991 in annual taxes. Add $665 in annual insurance, and you are looking at $305 per month in combined tax and insurance before you touch principal, interest, vacancy, maintenance, or management. At a 6.85% rate on a 20%-down loan against $156,414 financed, the mortgage payment alone is substantial. That $305 monthly carry cost is not a rounding error; it is a real line on the underwrite that will compress or eliminate cash flow on a median-priced acquisition financed at current rates. Worth repeating the caveat embedded in the data: 1.53% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and your actual county or township mill rate may differ, so pull the Henry County assessor data before closing.
No economic anchors or employer data were supplied for Henry County, so this analysis will not speculate about the local job base. What the demographic data does surface is a county population of 20,436, which is small enough to flag concentration risk on its own. In a market this size, a single large employer adding or cutting shifts, or a regional hospital system making a location decision, can move vacancy rates across an entire submarket. Investors used to deploying into metros with diversified employment bases should model a stress scenario where local demand softens 10 to 15% and ask whether the asset still services debt.
Comparing Henry to its neighboring counties puts the trade-off in sharper relief. Hardin County at $139,169 median and a 77 overall score offers a lower entry price with a marginally better overall score, which likely means better cash flow math at lower dollar amounts even if the appreciation profile is thinner. Fremont County at $166,833 and a 77 score is similar: cheaper basis, similar or better overall rating. Audubon County at $149,990 and Crawford County at $174,920 both score 75 overall, below Henry's 76, but their lower price points may produce better debt service coverage at the same rate environment. Carroll County is the closest comp at $199,882 median with a 77 score, meaning it is priced nearly identically to Henry but scores slightly higher overall. An investor should choose Henry over its neighbors when the specific thesis is appreciation and affordability-driven price momentum at a sub-$200K basis, particularly if they are comfortable with a longer hold and can withstand a period of breakeven or slightly negative cash flow while equity builds. If the mandate is current income, Hardin or Fremont at $30,000 to $56,000 lower price points are the more natural starting place for the same Iowa small-market exposure.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.5% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Henry County in Iowa scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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