Jefferson Parish market analysis
Jefferson Parish sits at a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0673, which lands it squarely in appreciation territory rather than pure cash-flow country. The cap rate of 4.37% confirms that: you're not buying a machine that prints money from day one, you're buying a market where price growth, 3.48% year-over-year on the median, does some of the work. The estimated monthly cash flow at these numbers is negative $418 on a conventionally financed deal at 6.85%, with a cash-on-cash return of -8.32%. That is not a typo and not a rounding error. At 20% down on a $262,124 purchase, the mortgage alone runs $1,374 against a median rent of $1,470. The spread is too thin once you layer in the $514 in estimated monthly expenses. Levered cash flow is negative; unlevered (cap rate) is marginally positive at 4.37%. The market's overall score of 68 out of 100, nationally ranked in the 77th percentile, reflects a market that outperforms on appreciation (81) and affordability (74) but delivers only middling cash flow (67) and notably lower stability (50).
The stability score of 50 is the number that should give a buy-and-hold investor pause before the cap rate does. Jefferson Parish is the New Orleans metro's suburban anchor, a large market of 436,000 residents, but Louisiana coastal parishes carry meaningful exposure to weather events and the insurance costs that follow them. The affordability index of 74 means housing is more accessible here than in many comparable metro-adjacent markets, which supports tenant demand, but the gap between rent and operating costs at leverage leaves almost no room for vacancy, capex, or rate movement. This market suits an appreciation-oriented buyer who can tolerate negative carry, either through a larger down payment that reduces the mortgage load or through a long hold horizon where rent growth closes the gap. A value-add operator who can buy below median, force equity through renovation, and reposition at a rent premium has the most defensible path to positive cash flow here. A pure cash-flow buyer looking for day-one yield should look elsewhere.
On carry costs, Jefferson Parish actually benefits from one of Louisiana's lower property tax burdens. The state-average effective rate is 0.55%, which translates to approximately $1,442 annually, or about $120 per month. Combined with an insurance rate of 0.66% ($1,730 annually, or $144 per month), the total monthly tax-and-insurance load sits at $264. That is a genuine tailwind relative to markets where property taxes alone run $400 to $600 per month. Keep in mind this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual Jefferson Parish rate may differ at the township or assessment-district level. Still, the low tax flag is real and material: it is one of the reasons the affordability score is as high as it is, and an investor underwriting this market should model $264 as a reasonable baseline while verifying the actual millage rate for the specific submarket.
Compared to its neighboring parishes, Jefferson's profile is clearly at the higher-price, lower-yield end of the Louisiana spectrum. Iberia Parish offers a rent-to-price ratio of 0.1063 on a $134,124 median price, more than double Jefferson's yield metric, with an overall score of 69. Caddo Parish similarly offers a 0.0908 ratio on a $138,170 median. Both of those markets are built for cash-flow buyers who want to avoid negative carry from the start. Livingston Parish is the most direct structural comparison to Jefferson: similar price point ($246,195 median), but a meaningfully better rent-to-price ratio of 0.0778 and a $1,595 median rent versus Jefferson's $1,470, with an overall score of 69. An investor choosing between Jefferson and Livingston is really choosing between the New Orleans metro adjacency and the Baton Rouge growth corridor, with Livingston offering incrementally better immediate yield metrics. Lafourche Parish at 0.0830 rent-to-price and a much lower price point is another option for investors prioritizing cash-flow efficiency over metro-market liquidity.
You choose Jefferson Parish over its neighbors when you believe the New Orleans metro's long-run demand drivers, the density, the port economy, the cultural draw, and the suburban population base of 436,000, support durable rent growth and price appreciation that the lower-priced parishes cannot match. The 3.48% year-over-year price appreciation already outpaces several neighbors in absolute dollar terms even if the percentage is moderate. You do not choose Jefferson Parish if your underwriting requires positive cash flow from month one on a leveraged deal at today's rates, because the numbers do not support that outcome without a significant down payment adjustment or a purchase price well below the parish median.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $196,593 | -$75/mo | 5.8% | -2.0% |
Median typical MLS deal | $262,124 | -$418/mo | 4.4% | -8.3% |
125% of median newer / premium | $327,656 | -$762/mo | 3.5% | -12.1% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.73% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 3.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.73%)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$418/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.4% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Jefferson Parish: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Jefferson Parish in Louisiana scores 68/100, ranking #183 of 1,000 US counties (top 23%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $418/month; the 6.73% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like Jefferson Parish with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Jefferson Parish
Average rent by city in Jefferson Parish
- Average rent in Metairie$1,608/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.