Saginaw County

MichiganPopulation: 189,821
77
/100
Buy for appreciation
#30 of 1,000 counties
#5 in Michigan (83 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 31, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$177,213
Median Home Price
23% below national median
$1,134/mo
Median Rent
22% below national median
7.68%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 15% nationally
-$192
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,134/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$132,910+$40/mo6.7%+1.6%
Median
typical MLS deal
$177,213-$192/mo5.0%-5.7%
125% of median
newer / premium
$221,517-$424/mo4.0%-10.0%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$177,213
Down Payment (20%)$35,443
Loan Amount$141,770
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,134
Monthly P&I-$929
Est. Expenses (35%)-$397
Net Cash Flow-$192/mo
5.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-5.7%
Cash-on-Cash Return
7.68%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 5.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
77/100
77
Cash Flow(30%)
77/100

Based on 7.68% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
90/100

Based on 6.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
92/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (7.68%)
  • +Strong price appreciation (+6.4% YoY)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 5.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
189,821
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
  • +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
ChippewaMI
78$202,561Est. pendingStrong BuyView
WayneMI
78$172,107$1,3759.59%Strong BuyView
CurrentSaginawMI
77$177,213$1,1347.68%Strong Buy
CrawfordMI
76$179,615Est. pendingStrong BuyView
IronMI
75$138,682Est. pendingStrong BuyView
BayMI
75$175,060$1,1437.84%Strong BuyView

The Bottom Line

Buy for appreciationSaginaw scores strongly overall, but a leveraged buy-and-hold loses $192/mo at current rates. Best fit for appreciation-focused buyers, all-cash operators, or value-add deals below median.

Saginaw County in Michigan scores 77/100, ranking #30 of 1,000 US counties (top 4%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $192/month; the 7.68% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-192/mo
Cap Rate
5.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-5.7%

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