Humphreys County
Market Snapshot
Humphreys market analysis
Humphreys County sits at a median home price of $78,527, making it one of the most affordable entry points in Mississippi and nationally, where it ranks in the 65th percentile across 1,000 counties analyzed. The affordability index hits a perfect 100, which reflects just how far below typical benchmarks this market sits. The flip side is that the cash flow score registers at zero and the cap rate field returns no usable figure, which means the rent data needed to underwrite a conventional buy-and-hold is either absent or unreliable at this scale. Home prices are essentially flat, down 0.7% year-over-year, so there is no momentum to lean on from the appreciation side either, where the county scores a 46 out of 100. Stability scores a 50. This is a market that wins on price alone, not on yield or growth.
That profile narrows the investor type considerably. A cash-flow buyer working from standard rent-to-price math cannot size a position here without reliable rent comps, and the data does not support that underwrite. An appreciation buyer is looking at a -0.7% price trend in a county of 7,744 people, which is not a thesis. The investor this county most plausibly suits is a deep-value or value-add operator who can acquire assets well below $100,000, force equity through renovation or repositioning, and hold for stabilized yield once rents are established on a per-unit basis. At a $78,527 median, even a modest gross rent of $700 to $800 per month on a stabilized unit would produce a gross yield in the 10% to 12% range, which is worth modeling. The risk is that execution in a small, low-population market is operationally difficult, and exit liquidity is constrained.
The economic context reinforces that caution. No specific economic anchors are provided for Humphreys County. At 7,744 residents, the county is small enough that a single employer departure or agricultural sector contraction could meaningfully affect rental demand. Without identifiable institutional or commercial anchors, underwriting rental demand requires local ground-truthing that aggregate data cannot supply.
On carry costs, the tax and insurance picture is relatively benign. Using the state-average effective property tax rate of 0.81%, which the Tax Foundation estimates for Mississippi and which may differ materially at the county or township level, annual property taxes on an $78,527 asset run approximately $636. Annual insurance is estimated at $393, producing a combined monthly tax-and-insurance burden of $86. That is a real tailwind for an investor trying to keep total operating costs low on a modest-rent asset. A property tax flag of "normal" means this line item does not require a special asterisk on your underwrite the way a high-tax state would, but the caveat on state-average versus local rates is worth confirming before closing.
The primary risks here are concentration and demographic. A population of 7,744 is thin enough that vacancy in even a small portfolio of five to ten units can swing occupancy metrics dramatically. There is no data to suggest regulatory risk is elevated, but the thin population base also means tenant pools are shallow and re-leasing timelines can extend. Price depreciation, even modest at -0.7%, in a market this small can compound quickly if population trends are negative, which they often are in rural Mississippi Delta counties. Investors should pull Census tract-level population trend data before committing capital.
Against its neighbors, Humphreys County looks anomalous on price. Madison County's median sits at $329,801, more than four times higher, with a rent-to-price ratio of 0.062. Harrison County at $220,811 and Forrest County at $182,640 both post rent-to-price ratios above 0.073, meaning they offer better-documented yield on assets that still trade at a significant discount to major metros. Forrest County's 0.073 ratio and Harrison County's 0.076 ratio on confirmed rent data are more actionable for a cash-flow underwrite than Humphreys County's undocumented yield potential. Tishomingo County at $186,177 and Simpson County at $145,629 occupy a middle range. An investor should choose Humphreys County over these neighbors only if they have a specific value-add deal in hand at a price that compensates for the liquidity risk and the absence of rent benchmarks, and not simply because the median price is the lowest in the comparison set.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -0.7% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-0.7% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Humphreys County in Mississippi scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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