Merrick County
Market Snapshot
Merrick market analysis
Merrick County scores 73 overall and lands in the 89th national percentile across 1,000 counties, which is a respectable position, but the underlying cash-flow score of 0 tells you most of what you need to know about the income side of this trade. The appreciation score of 86 and a year-over-year home price gain of 5.08% on a median of $235,891 make the directional story clear: this is an asset that has been moving, not a yield machine. No cap rate or rent data is provided in the county dataset, so any income underwrite will require you to build your own rent comparables from the ground up rather than relying on published figures here.
The investor this market suits is the appreciation-oriented buyer comfortable holding a small Nebraska market for price growth rather than day-one income. That 5.08% annual price appreciation on a $235,891 median is meaningful in absolute dollars, and the affordability index of 79 suggests the market is not yet priced out of reach for the local buyer pool, which matters when you eventually need an exit. A cash-flow-first buyer has nothing to anchor to here given the missing rent and cap rate data, and a value-add operator in a county of 7,675 people will face thin deal volume and a limited tenant pool, which constrains both the buy-and-flip and BRRRR theses. If you are a patient buy-and-hold investor who can tolerate the illiquidity of a small rural market and does not need the property to service significant debt from rents alone, the appreciation trajectory is worth attention.
The carry costs are where this county pushes back, and they deserve a dedicated line on your underwrite. Nebraska's state-average effective property tax rate of 1.73% is high enough to materially affect returns, and the data flags it accordingly. On a $235,891 purchase that translates to roughly $4,081 in annual property taxes. Add estimated annual insurance of $1,368 and you are looking at $454 per month in combined tax and insurance before you pay a dollar of principal, interest, maintenance, or management. In a county where the rental income picture is unclear, that $454 baseline carry cost is not a rounding error. The honest caveat here, as noted in the source data, is that this 1.73% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 figures; the actual rate at the county or township level may differ, so verify the specific assessor rate before closing.
The stability score of 50 is the number that would give a careful investor the most pause. It sits exactly at the midpoint, which in a rural county of under 8,000 people is a meaningful signal. Small single-employer or single-sector rural economies can see outsized swings when one business contracts or closes, and a tenant base this thin leaves little room to absorb vacancy. No economic anchor or employer data was provided for Merrick County, so it is not possible to characterize the local demand drivers with precision, and you should treat that absence as a research task, not a green light. Population at 7,675 also means that your buyer pool on exit is narrow, and if appreciation slows or reverses, liquidity becomes a real risk rather than a theoretical one.
Looking at the neighboring counties, Dawson County is the one with enough data to make a direct comparison. At a median of $201,202 and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.75% monthly (7.491% annualized), Dawson is the cash-flow alternative in this peer group. Its lower price point combined with a $1,256 median rent creates a materially better income profile than anything Merrick's numbers currently support. If your primary objective is yield, Dawson wins on the available data. Brown County comes in at $149,197, the cheapest in the group and the same overall score of 73, but without rent data it is impossible to assess whether that price discount translates to better or worse returns. Butler and Dakota counties sit within $10,000 of Merrick's median and carry scores of 73 and 72 respectively, making them near-peers without a clear differentiation on the provided data. You choose Merrick over its neighbors specifically if you are underwriting for price appreciation rather than income, believe the 5.08% annual gain rate has legs, and can absorb the $454 monthly tax-and-insurance carry without rental income to offset it while you wait for that appreciation to compound.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.1% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Merrick County in Nebraska scores 73/100, ranking #88 of 1,000 US counties (top 11%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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