Macon market analysis
Macon County sits at a 3.14% cap rate and a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.48% monthly (4.83% annualized), which places it firmly on the appreciation side of the spectrum. At a $359,927 median purchase price against $1,450 in median rent, the math doesn't work for cash flow at current financing rates. Running a conventional underwrite at 6.85% with 20% down produces a monthly mortgage of $1,887, and once you layer in $507 in estimated expenses, the position runs roughly $944 per month negative. Cash-on-cash return of negative 13.68% confirms this is not a market where you buy, finance, and wait for rent to cover the carry. Home price appreciation came in at 1.9% year-over-year, which is real but modest, and the overall score of 53 out of 100, landing at the 30th national percentile and 43rd out of 100 North Carolina counties, reflects a market that doesn't particularly excel in any single dimension. The appreciation score of 69 is the standout, and that's the signal worth paying attention to.
The investor this market suits is someone buying for medium-to-long-term price appreciation with the capacity to carry negative cash flow, or someone who can substantially reduce acquisition cost through off-market or distressed purchases. The cash flow score of 43 is the lowest of the five metrics, and that number reflects the structural mismatch between the price point and rental income this market supports. A value-add operator who can buy below the $360K median, force equity through renovation, and either refinance at a lower basis or sell into the appreciation trend has a more credible path here than a straight buy-and-hold landlord expecting rent to service the debt. The affordability index of 53 suggests the buyer pool for resale is moderate, which matters if your exit depends on owner-occupant demand.
The property tax picture at Macon is a genuine carry-cost consideration, though not an alarm. Using the state-average effective rate of 0.84% (Tax Foundation 2024, with the important caveat that county and township rates will differ from this estimate), annual taxes on the median home run approximately $3,023, or $252 per month. Insurance adds another $1,008 annually, or $84 per month, for a combined tax-and-insurance line of $336 per month. At a "normal" flag, this rate doesn't change the investment thesis materially, but with the property already running deep negative on cash flow, that $336 is not a rounding error. It needs to appear explicitly in your underwrite alongside the $1,887 mortgage payment, not buried in the $507 expense estimate.
The five neighboring counties listed all share the same overall score of 52 to 54, so Macon isn't obviously weaker or stronger than its peers on a composite basis. Where the comparison gets interesting is on the rent-to-price ratio. Moore County prices at $406,616 but generates a 5.44% annualized rent-to-price ratio against Macon's 4.83%, and Union County at $445,007 runs 5.55%. Both of those neighbors carry higher median home prices but produce meaningfully better rental yield relative to acquisition cost. If your capital can reach the $406K to $445K range, Moore or Union appear to offer better cash-flow positioning than Macon at similar overall scores. Chowan County at $218,693 and Greene at $174,742 offer substantially lower entry points, though neither comes with rent data provided here, so direct yield comparisons aren't possible. Tyrrell County at $162,023 is the lowest-priced neighbor by a significant margin, and with an overall score of 54, it edges out Macon slightly on the composite. The case for choosing Macon over its neighbors rests almost entirely on the appreciation score of 69 and the assumption that the western North Carolina mountain market, where Franklin is situated, continues to attract second-home buyers and retirees willing to push prices higher over time. If that migration thesis weakens, the investment case weakens with it, because the income side of the equation provides very little cushion.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $269,945 | -$472/mo | 4.2% | -9.1% |
Median typical MLS deal | $359,927 | -$944/mo | 3.1% | -13.7% |
125% of median newer / premium | $449,908 | -$1,415/mo | 2.5% | -16.4% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 4.83% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 1.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.83%)
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$944/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Macon County in North Carolina scores 53/100, ranking #544 of 1,000 US counties (top 70%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $944/month; the 4.83% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.