Robeson market analysis
Robeson County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 10.1%, which puts it in genuinely rare territory. At a $136,515 median home price against $1,149 in monthly rent, the raw yield math is as favorable as almost anywhere in the country, and the modeled cap rate of 6.57% confirms that the income story holds up even after expenses. Year-over-year price appreciation of 2.32% is modest but not zero, and the affordability index of 100 signals that prices remain well within reach of the local renter pool. This is a market that sits firmly on the cash-flow end of the spectrum, not an appreciation play, and investors who underwrite it as one will be disappointed. Those who underwrite it for income, and do so conservatively, will find the numbers defensible.
The profile here fits one buyer type above all: the cash-flow-focused investor who wants low basis, high yield, and minimal exposure to valuation risk. At a $136,515 purchase price with 20% down, the modeled monthly mortgage is $716 at 6.85%, estimated expenses run $402, and projected cash flow lands at $32 per month. That $32 is thin, and a cash-on-cash return of 1.22% reflects it. The honest read is that Robeson is not a market where a single-family rental at median price throws off serious monthly income, but the 6.57% cap rate means an all-cash buyer captures a real yield. Investors who can push rents above median through light value-add work, or who acquire below the median price, will shift those numbers materially. The affordability score of 100 and overall score of 81 (ranked 4th nationally out of 1,000 counties and first in North Carolina) are driven almost entirely by the cash-flow score of 100 and affordability score of 100, not by appreciation or stability, which scores 50.
The taxInsurance numbers add some color to the carry cost story. At the state-average effective rate of 0.84% (a Tax Foundation 2024 estimate, with the caveat that actual county and township rates in Robeson may differ), annual property tax on a $136,515 home runs approximately $1,147. Combined with an estimated $382 in annual insurance, the monthly tax-plus-insurance load is $127. That is not a burden at this price point, and the 0.84% rate sits in normal territory, neither a meaningful tailwind nor a drag. The insurance figure at 0.28% annually is similarly contained. Neither number creates a structural problem for the underwrite, though investors should pull the actual Robeson County millage rate before closing, since the state average can diverge meaningfully at the county level.
The stability score of 50 is the number that demands attention before deploying capital here. Robeson County has a population of 117,573, and while the data does not include employer or economic anchor information for this county, the stability score alone signals real concentration or economic fragility risk. A market can have a 10% rent-to-price ratio precisely because the market is pricing in risk that yield-focused screening tools reward on paper. Thin cash flow margins at $32 per month mean that a vacancy, a major repair, or a rent shortfall erases months of positive returns in a single event. Investors should stress-test occupancy assumptions aggressively and budget for higher-than-average turnover and property management overhead.
Comparing Robeson to its neighbors makes the relative value case concrete. The next closest in overall score is Northampton County at 78, with a median price of $115,952, but Northampton's overall score is lower, and its price is only marginally cheaper. The other neighbors are not close on yield: Davidson County shows a rent-to-price ratio of 6.57% at a $264,061 median, Cumberland County comes in at 7.5% at $227,591, and Cherokee County at 7.1% on a $274,117 median. All three carry prices nearly double Robeson's and produce materially weaker yield ratios. Perquimans County at $264,692 lacks rent data in the provided figures. The case for choosing Robeson over any of these neighbors is purely about entry price and yield; an investor who needs cash flow and wants to keep capital deployment low will find no better-priced option in this state dataset. An investor who prioritizes appreciation upside, market liquidity, or employment base depth will find Cumberland County's proximity to Fayetteville and Fort Liberty a more defensible long-term hold, even at the lower yield.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $102,386 | +$211/mo | 8.8% | +10.8% |
Median typical MLS deal | $136,515 | +$32/mo | 6.6% | +1.2% |
125% of median newer / premium | $170,644 | -$147/mo | 5.3% | -4.5% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 10.10% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (10.10%)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 6.6% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Robeson County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Robeson County in North Carolina scores 81/100, ranking #4 of 1,000 US counties (top 0%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow (10.10% gross rent-to-price ratio). The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.