Union County

North CarolinaPopulation: 240,109
48
/100
Hold
#634 of 1,000 counties
#56 in North Carolina (100 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 31, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$453,704
Median Home Price
98% above national median
$2,131/mo
Median Rent
47% above national median
5.64%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 59% nationally
-$994
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,131/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$340,278-$399/mo4.9%-6.1%
Median
typical MLS deal
$453,704-$994/mo3.7%-11.4%
125% of median
newer / premium
$567,130-$1,588/mo2.9%-14.6%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$453,704
Down Payment (20%)$90,741
Loan Amount$362,963
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,131
Monthly P&I-$2,378
Est. Expenses (35%)-$746
Net Cash Flow-$994/mo
3.7%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-11.4%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.64%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.7% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
48/100
48
Cash Flow(30%)
55/100

Based on 5.64% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
48/100

Based on -0.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
35/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Declining home values (-0.5% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$994/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.7% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
240,109
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
  • You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
ClevelandNC
51$202,617$1,1586.86%HoldView
CaldwellNC
51$231,573$1,0745.56%HoldView
CurrentUnionNC
48$453,704$2,1315.64%Hold
MecklenburgNC
48$416,475$1,7375.01%HoldView
ClayNC
46$334,965Est. pendingHoldView
DurhamNC
46$394,861$1,6284.95%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldUnion is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Union County in North Carolina scores 48/100, ranking #634 of 1,000 US counties (top 81%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $994/month; the 5.64% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-994/mo
Cap Rate
3.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-11.4%

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