Kay County

OklahomaPopulation: 43,859
76
/100
Buy for appreciation
#40 of 1,000 counties
#4 in Oklahoma (77 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated September 7, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$117,379
Median Home Price
49% below national median
$745/mo
Median Rent
49% below national median
7.62%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 15% nationally
-$131
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $745/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$88,034+$23/mo6.6%+1.4%
Median
typical MLS deal
$117,379-$131/mo5.0%-5.8%
125% of median
newer / premium
$146,724-$285/mo4.0%-10.1%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$117,379
Down Payment (20%)$23,476
Loan Amount$93,903
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$745
Monthly P&I-$615
Est. Expenses (35%)-$261
Net Cash Flow-$131/mo
5.0%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-5.8%
Cash-on-Cash Return
7.62%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 5.0% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
76/100
76
Cash Flow(30%)
76/100

Based on 7.62% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
84/100

Based on 4.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
100/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (7.62%)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes
  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 5.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
43,859
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
  • +Value-add operators who can buy below median and force rent up
  • +Institutional or out-of-state investors who target appreciation markets
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
WoodwardOK
77$133,590Est. pendingStrong BuyView
CurrentKayOK
76$117,379$7457.62%Strong Buy
ComancheOK
76$150,944$1,0528.37%Strong BuyView
TexasOK
76$162,139Est. pendingStrong BuyView
PawneeOK
74$170,901Est. pendingBuyView
McIntoshOK
73$195,367Est. pendingBuyView

The Bottom Line

Buy for appreciationKay scores strongly overall, but a leveraged buy-and-hold loses $131/mo at current rates. Best fit for appreciation-focused buyers, all-cash operators, or value-add deals below median.

Kay County in Oklahoma scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $131/month; the 7.62% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-131/mo
Cap Rate
5.0%
Cash-on-Cash
-5.8%

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