Providence County

Rhode IslandPopulation: 657,984
53
/100
Hold
#2,399 of 3,073 counties
#3 in Rhode Island (5 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 19, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$453,475
Median Home Price
93% above the median US county
$2,053/mo
Median Rent
36% above the median US county
5.43%
Annual Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 62% nationally
-$1,178
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 7.4% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,053/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 7.40% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$340,106-$550/mo4.7%-8.4%
Median
typical MLS deal
$453,475-$1,178/mo3.5%-13.6%
125% of median
newer / premium
$566,844-$1,806/mo2.8%-16.6%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$453,475
Down Payment (20%)$90,695
Loan Amount$362,780
Interest Rate7.40%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,053
Monthly P&I-$2,512
Est. Expenses (35%)-$719
Net Cash Flow-$1,178/mo
3.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-13.6%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.43%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 7.40% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
53/100
53
Cash Flow(30%)
51/100

Based on 5.43% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
73/100

Based on 2.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
35/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,178/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.5% < mortgage rate 7.4%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
657,984
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes

Compare to Rhode Island counties with similar scores

CountyVerdict
KentRI
59$441,067$2,1925.96%HoldView
CurrentProvidenceRI
53$453,475$2,0535.43%Hold
BristolRI
51$650,424$2,9335.41%HoldView
NewportRI
48$787,185$3,0694.68%HoldView
WashingtonRI
47$683,840$2,4604.32%HoldView

Section 8 in Providence County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldProvidence is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Providence County in Rhode Island scores 53/100, ranking #2399 of 3,073 US counties (top 78%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1178/month; the 5.43% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,178/mo
Cap Rate
3.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-13.6%

Related markets

Average rent by city in Providence County

Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.

Ready to Analyze a Deal in Providence?

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