Spartanburg market analysis
Spartanburg's gross rent-to-price ratio sits at 6.44%, which lands it squarely in the middle of the cash-flow-versus-appreciation spectrum, leaning slightly toward appreciation without delivering enough yield to make the numbers work on a leveraged basis at current rates. The 4.19% cap rate is the clearest summary of the market: you are buying a stabilized asset in a mid-tier market at a price that pencils for an all-cash buyer but goes negative the moment debt enters the picture. At 6.85% financing, the modeled purchase at $274,874 produces a monthly mortgage of $1,441 against estimated rent of $1,475, leaving almost no room for expenses before cash flow turns red. The model confirms it: negative $482 per month and a cash-on-cash return of -9.15% on the $54,975 down payment. Home price appreciation of 1.1% year-over-year is modest, barely above inflation and not enough to subsidize the carry loss for most investors. The affordability index of 71 and overall score of 61 out of 100 place Spartanburg in the 56th percentile nationally, a perfectly average market that rewards selective underwriting rather than broad deployment.
The investor profile this county suits best is the appreciation buyer with a longer time horizon who can tolerate a modest monthly carry cost while waiting for equity to build, or the value-add operator who can acquire below the median and push rents above the market average of $1,475. A pure cash-flow buyer is going to struggle here at current rates unless they are buying significantly below the modeled price or putting enough cash down to eliminate most of the debt service. The affordability score of 71 is a legitimate tailwind for rent demand, meaning tenants can still afford to live here without extreme cost burden, which historically supports occupancy. But affordability for renters does not automatically translate to yield for investors when purchase prices are where they are. A value-add operator targeting properties in the $200,000 to $230,000 range and repositioning to rents in the $1,600 to $1,700 band would meaningfully improve both the cap rate and cash-on-cash figures relative to the modeled baseline.
South Carolina's property tax environment is a genuine underwriting tailwind in Spartanburg. The state-average effective rate of 0.57% is low enough to move the needle, and that caveat matters: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual county or township rate may differ, so verify at the assessor before closing. At that rate, the modeled property produces $1,567 in annual taxes, and combined with $935 in annual insurance, the total tax-and-insurance carry comes to $209 per month. That is a relatively contained number. In higher-tax states, this line item alone can kill a deal; here it is a manageable input that at least does not compound the already-thin margin from debt service. The low property tax flag is a real structural advantage compared to markets in Illinois, New Jersey, or Texas, and it matters for long-term hold economics even when the entry-point yield is compressed.
Concentration and stability scores deserve attention. Spartanburg's stability score of 50 is the weakest of its five scored dimensions, which is worth investigating before committing capital. A stability score at the midpoint suggests the market may have meaningful exposure to cyclical employment, population volatility, or income concentration that could affect rent collections and vacancy in a downturn. No economic anchor data was provided for this county, so employer-specific commentary is not possible here, but any investor doing serious diligence should map the top five employers by headcount and assess whether the local economy skews toward manufacturing or a single sector that could reprice quickly in a recession. Population of 330,119 gives the county enough mass to support a functioning rental market with multiple submarkets and tenant pools, but the stability score suggests that mass alone does not insulate it from cyclical risk.
Against its neighbors, Spartanburg is neither the best cash-flow market nor the highest-priced appreciation play in the region. Greenwood County is the most compelling alternative for a yield-focused investor: median home prices of $166,406 against median rent of $1,136 produce a rent-to-price ratio of 8.19%, nearly 180 basis points higher than Spartanburg's 6.44%, and it carries an overall score of 62 versus Spartanburg's 61. That spread is large enough to meaningfully improve cash-on-cash math for a leveraged buyer. Lexington County trades at a slightly lower median price of $266,614 but generates median rent of $1,588, yielding a ratio of 7.15%, which is materially better than Spartanburg's on a comparable price point. Sumter County at 7.89% rent-to-price and a $208,095 median is another cash-flow-forward alternative worth modeling. Oconee County essentially mirrors Spartanburg, with a ratio of 6.44% and a slightly higher median price, offering no meaningful differentiation. An investor should choose Spartanburg over its neighbors when they have conviction in the county's specific submarket dynamics, believe they can acquire below the median, or are prioritizing county-level infrastructure, school quality, or population trajectory over raw yield metrics that currently favor Greenwood, Lexington, or Sumter.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $206,156 | -$122/mo | 5.6% | -3.1% |
Median typical MLS deal | $274,874 | -$482/mo | 4.2% | -9.2% |
125% of median newer / premium | $343,593 | -$842/mo | 3.4% | -12.8% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.44% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 1.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$482/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.2% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Spartanburg County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Spartanburg County in South Carolina scores 61/100, ranking #344 of 1,000 US counties (top 44%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $482/month; the 6.44% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like Spartanburg with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Spartanburg
Average rent by city in Spartanburg County
- Average rent in Spartanburg$1,350/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.