Ochiltree County

TexasPopulation: 9,924
76
/100
Strong Buy
#40 of 1,000 counties
#9 in Texas (243 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 7, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$131,012
Median Home Price
43% below national median
$7,916/mo
Est. Rent
Based on regional data
6.04%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Estimated from price data
+$0
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Ochiltree market analysis

Ochiltree County sits at a median home price of $131,012, placing it among the most affordable entry points in Texas and earning it a perfect affordability score of 100. The county ranked 40th nationally out of 1,000 counties evaluated, landing in the 95th percentile overall, and 9th out of 243 Texas counties. That ranking is driven heavily by the appreciation score of 78 and the affordability score of 100, not by cash flow metrics, which are absent from the dataset. Year-over-year home price growth came in at 10.83%, which is meaningful appreciation for a sub-$150K market. What the data does not supply is a cap rate, a gross rent multiplier, or a price-to-rent ratio, so underwriting any specific cash-flow projection here requires independent rent comps. What the numbers do confirm is that this market leans toward the appreciation end of the spectrum rather than the yield end, with the combination of low absolute prices and double-digit annual gains doing the heavy lifting.

Given the data profile, this market suits two types of buyers most clearly. First, the low-basis appreciation buyer who wants to deploy a modest down payment, around $26,202 at 20%, into a market where 10.83% annual price gains can translate to meaningful equity on a percentage basis even if nominal dollar gains are smaller than in higher-priced metros. Second, the value-add operator who can acquire at $131K, renovate, and either refinance or sell into what has been a rising price trend. A pure cash-flow buyer running the numbers at 6.85% interest will need to verify that local rents support debt service before committing, since no rent estimate is available in this dataset and the cash-flow score reflects a zero, suggesting the tool was unable to model a positive spread at current rates and prices.

The economic context here is thin in the data provided. No specific employer anchors or economy note were supplied for Ochiltree, so the underlying demand drivers for rental housing, whether oil and gas activity, agriculture, or regional employment, cannot be addressed with confidence from this dataset. What can be said is that the county's population of 9,924 makes this a small, concentrated market. Rental demand will be tied to a narrow set of local industries and employers, and any investor entering here should conduct independent due diligence on the labor base before assuming occupancy.

On carry costs, the tax and insurance picture deserves a direct line in your underwrite. Using the Texas state-average effective property tax rate of 1.80%, annual property tax on a $131,012 acquisition runs approximately $2,358, and insurance adds another $655 annually, putting combined monthly tax and insurance at $251. At 1.80%, the state-average rate is high enough to be a real underwriting consideration, not a rounding error. That figure alone can be the difference between a deal that pencils and one that does not when rents are tight, and Texas is consistently one of the higher property-tax states nationally. Worth noting again: 1.80% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual Ochiltree County or township rate may differ, sometimes materially in either direction.

The primary risk in a market this size is concentration. With fewer than 10,000 residents, a single employer contraction, a commodity price cycle downturn affecting the agricultural or energy sector, or a modest population decline can meaningfully soften rental demand. Regulatory risk at a county level in rural Texas is generally lower than in major metros, but the thin demand base means vacancy duration, not rate, is the real exposure. There are no vacancy or crime statistics in the dataset to cite specifically, but any investor should underwrite for extended vacancy periods given the limited renter pool.

Compared to its neighbors, Ochiltree's median price of $131,012 is cheaper than Andrews ($244,485, score 75), Callahan ($220,841, score 75), and Wichita ($163,787, score 68) counties, and more expensive than Stonewall ($91,350, score 82) and Cottle ($65,066, score 68). Stonewall County is the outlier worth flagging: it scores 82 overall against Ochiltree's 76, at a median price that is $40,000 lower. An investor who can operate comfortably in an even smaller, more rural market should run Stonewall side by side with Ochiltree before committing capital. Wichita County, the only neighbor with rent data available, shows a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0867, which translates to roughly $163,787 in median price supporting about $1,183 in monthly rent. That ratio is a useful benchmark when pulling Ochiltree rent comps. Choose Ochiltree over its neighbors when your thesis is riding a sub-$135K basis through a demonstrated appreciation cycle, and you have the local market knowledge to source and manage property in a county of under 10,000 people.

Last analyzed August 7, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Ochiltree County.

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
76/100
76
Cash Flow(30%)
0/100

Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.

Appreciation(25%)
78/100

Based on 10.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
100/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Strong price appreciation (+10.8% YoY)
  • +Affordable relative to local incomes

Challenges

  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -Limited rent data (estimates used)

Economic Indicators

Population
9,924
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
Skip if
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
StonewallTX
82$91,350Est. pendingStrong BuyView
CurrentOchiltreeTX
76$131,012Est. pendingStrong Buy
AndrewsTX
75$244,485Est. pendingStrong BuyView
CallahanTX
75$220,841Est. pendingStrong BuyView
WichitaTX
68$163,787$1,1838.67%BuyView
CottleTX
68$65,066Est. pendingBuyView

The Bottom Line

Strong BuyOchiltree is a strong buy market with excellent fundamentals for buy-and-hold investors.

Ochiltree County in Texas scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.

Monthly Cash Flow
+$0/mo
Cap Rate
0.0%
Cash-on-Cash
0.0%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

Cap rate data is not available for Ochiltree County at this time, as rental information is limited in this sparsely populated market of 9,924 residents.

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