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Market MapVirginiaChesterfield

Chesterfield County

VirginiaPopulation: 366,019
55
/100
Hold
#500 of 1,000 counties
#91 in Virginia (133 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 20, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$416,587
Median Home Price
82% above national median
$1,926/mo
Median Rent
33% above national median
5.55%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 62% nationally
-$932
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,926/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$312,440-$386/mo4.8%-6.5%
Median
typical MLS deal
$416,587-$932/mo3.6%-11.7%
125% of median
newer / premium
$520,734-$1,478/mo2.9%-14.8%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$416,587
Down Payment (20%)$83,317
Loan Amount$333,270
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,926
Monthly P&I-$2,184
Est. Expenses (35%)-$674
Net Cash Flow-$932/mo
3.6%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-11.7%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.55%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.6% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
55/100
55
Cash Flow(30%)
53/100

Based on 5.55% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
74/100

Based on 2.4% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
41/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$932/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.6% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
366,019
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
BathVA
57$215,219Est. pending—HoldView
SurryVA
56$276,301Est. pending—HoldView
CurrentChesterfieldVA
55$416,587$1,9265.55%Hold
AmherstVA
55$264,564$1,0924.95%HoldView
HenricoVA
55$388,651$1,7225.32%HoldView
James CityVA
54$471,444$2,0055.10%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldChesterfield is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Chesterfield County in Virginia scores 55/100, ranking #500 of 1,000 US counties (top 64%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $932/month; the 5.55% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-932/mo
Cap Rate
3.6%
Cash-on-Cash
-11.7%

Related markets

Markets like Chesterfield with stronger cash flow

  • Henrico County for cash-flow rentals
  • James City County for cash-flow rentals
  • Amherst County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Chesterfield

  • Bath County, lower entry price
  • Amherst County, lower entry price
  • Surry County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Chesterfield vs Amherst for rentals
  • Chesterfield vs Henrico for rentals
  • Chesterfield vs James City for rentals
All counties in Virginia →

Rent vs buy in Virginia cities

Rent vs buy in Virginia Beach, VAMedian $411,608 · rent $1,999/moRent vs buy in Norfolk, VAMedian $301,780 · rent $1,632/moRent vs buy in Chesapeake, VAMedian $409,595 · rent $2,084/moRent vs buy in Richmond, VAMedian $355,757 · rent $1,578/moRent vs buy in Newport News, VAMedian $284,020 · rent $1,557/moAll Virginia citiesFull rent-vs-buy directory for the state

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