Winchester City

VirginiaPopulation: 28,103
59
/100
Hold
#402 of 1,000 counties
#63 in Virginia (133 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 28, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$363,487
Median Home Price
59% above national median
$1,642/mo
Median Rent
13% above national median
5.42%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 64% nationally
-$838
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,642/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$272,615-$362/mo4.7%-6.9%
Median
typical MLS deal
$363,487-$838/mo3.5%-12.0%
125% of median
newer / premium
$454,359-$1,315/mo2.8%-15.1%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$363,487
Down Payment (20%)$72,697
Loan Amount$290,790
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,642
Monthly P&I-$1,905
Est. Expenses (35%)-$575
Net Cash Flow-$838/mo
3.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-12.0%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.42%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
59/100
59
Cash Flow(30%)
51/100

Based on 5.42% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
82/100

Based on 3.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
52/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (5.42%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$838/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
28,103
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
Lynchburg CityVA
60$239,431$1,2826.43%BuyView
CurrentWinchester CityVA
59$363,487$1,6425.42%Hold
Portsmouth CityVA
59$255,109$1,5817.44%HoldView
FrederickVA
59$419,936$2,1036.01%HoldView
NelsonVA
58$348,365Est. pendingHoldView
Hopewell CityVA
58$210,055$1,1376.49%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldWinchester City is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Winchester City in Virginia scores 59/100, ranking #402 of 1,000 US counties (top 51%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $838/month; the 5.42% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-838/mo
Cap Rate
3.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-12.0%

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