Ashland market analysis
Ashland County's numbers tell a story that is hard to dress up. The cash flow score is zero, the cap rate is zero, and the cash-on-cash return is zero, which in this context means the model could not construct a workable return at current price and rent levels rather than a literal null market, but the signal is clear: at a $184,025 median price and a 6.85% mortgage rate, the rent-to-price math does not pencil for a conventional buy-and-hold. Appreciation is equally uninspiring. Home prices fell 5.49% year-over-year, the appreciation score sits at 14 out of 100, and the county ranks in the 19th percentile nationally and 62nd out of 72 Wisconsin counties. The affordability index of 91 is genuinely one of the better numbers here, confirming that homes are cheap in absolute terms, but cheap and cash-flowing are not the same thing when carrying costs are this high relative to achievable rents.
The investor profile this market might theoretically suit is a deep value-add operator who can acquire significantly below the $184,025 median, force equity through renovation, and either refinance into a better basis or exit to an owner-occupant buyer. A pure cash-flow buyer has no data here to work with and should be skeptical. An appreciation buyer is pointing at a market that just shed 5.49% in a year with a population of 16,041, a size that limits the demand pool needed to sustain price growth. If you are running a short-term rental strategy tied to Lake Superior or regional outdoor recreation, that thesis would need to be stress-tested against your own local comps because nothing in this dataset supports or contradicts it.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Ashland County, so no claims about job concentration or institutional demand drivers can be made from this data. What the population figure of 16,041 does tell you is that this is a small, rural northern Wisconsin market. Thin population generally means thin tenant demand, limited rent growth pressure, and longer days on market when you need to re-lease or exit, all risks that compound when the cash flow and appreciation scores are already at the bottom of the range.
The carry cost picture deserves close attention. Wisconsin's state-average effective property tax rate is 1.85%, which the Tax Foundation flags as high, and this dataset carries that same flag. At the $184,025 purchase price, that rate produces $3,404 in annual property taxes. Add $423 in annual insurance and the combined monthly tax-and-insurance load is $319. That is a real number that belongs on the expense side of every underwrite before you ever get to maintenance, vacancy, or management. At a property price where achievable rents are already constrained, $319 per month in fixed carry costs before debt service is a material drag. The honest caveat here is that 1.85% is a state-average estimate; actual rates at the county or township level in Ashland can differ, and you should pull the specific mill rate for any address you are underwriting rather than relying on the state figure.
The concentration and demographic risk in a county of 16,041 is structural. A single large employer contraction, a shift in regional population trends, or any erosion of the area's recreational draw creates a demand problem that a larger metro can absorb but a small rural county cannot. No vacancy data is provided here, but the underlying population base alone suggests the investor should model conservatively on both vacancy assumptions and rent growth.
Compared to the neighboring counties in this dataset, Ashland is the cheapest entry point by a wide margin, at $184,025 versus $309,357 in Eau Claire, $314,821 in La Crosse, and over $436,000 in Door, Waukesha, and Ozaukee counties. However, the neighbors that have rent data show rent-to-price ratios of 4.5% to 4.9% in La Crosse and Ozaukee, which, while not strong, at least give an investor a number to underwrite against. Ashland provides no equivalent data point. La Crosse and Eau Claire both score 54 overall versus Ashland's 48, and both have larger, more diversified economic bases that support more predictable rental demand. The only scenario where you choose Ashland over these neighbors is if you have a specific off-market acquisition well below median, a defined value-add plan, and a local market knowledge edge that the aggregate data cannot capture. Without those three elements, the neighboring markets offer more legible risk-adjusted opportunities at their respective price points.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -5.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-5.5% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Ashland County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Ashland County in Wisconsin scores 48/100, ranking #634 of 1,000 US counties (top 81%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.