Dallas County
Market Snapshot
Dallas market analysis
Dallas County, Arkansas sits at a median home price of $99,656 with year-over-year appreciation of 2.0%, placing it firmly at the affordable end of the national spectrum. The affordability index scores a perfect 100, and the county ranks 88th nationally out of 1,000 counties tracked, landing in the 89th percentile overall. That ranking is driven almost entirely by price point and appreciation potential, which scores 70 out of 100, rather than by cash flow, which scores 0. The cash-flow score and the zeroed-out cap rate, cash-on-cash, and estimated cash flow fields in the investment estimate are a signal worth taking seriously: at a 6.85% interest rate on a ~$100K purchase with a $19,931 down payment, the spread between financing costs and achievable rents in this market is thin to nonexistent on a straight acquisition. This is not a market you buy today for monthly income without a material discount to the median price or a value-add component.
The investor this market suits is someone playing the appreciation angle at a very low basis, or a value-add operator who can acquire below the median and manufacture equity through renovation. The 2.0% annual price growth is modest in absolute terms, but on a $99,656 asset purchased with roughly $20K down, even that modest appreciation rate generates a meaningful return on equity. The stability score of 50 is average, which means you're not getting a defensive, recession-resistant market, but you're also not paying an appreciation premium. For a buyer willing to hold five to ten years and weather the illiquidity of a 6,472-person county, the entry price keeps the risk of permanent capital loss low. Cash-flow-oriented buyers should look elsewhere unless they can negotiate a price well below $99K or bring creative financing to the table.
No economic anchor or employer data was provided for Dallas County, so the job base and rental demand drivers cannot be assessed from this data set. What the population figure of 6,472 does tell you is that this is a very small, rural market. Tenant pools are shallow by definition. A single large employer entering or exiting the county would move vacancy rates materially. Before committing capital here, an investor needs ground-level intelligence on the local employer mix that this data set does not supply.
On carry costs, the picture is actually a tailwind. Arkansas carries a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.62%, which the Tax Foundation flags as low, and the insurance rate comes in at 0.48% annually. Combined, that works out to $91 per month in tax and insurance on a $99,656 asset. That's a meaningful cost advantage relative to higher-tax states, and it's one of the few line items working in favor of cash flow here. Investors should note the standard caveat: the 0.62% figure is a state-average estimate, and actual Dallas County or township-level rates may differ, so confirm the specific parcel's assessed value and millage rate before closing. But even if the county rate runs somewhat above the state average, you're not starting from a punishing baseline.
The concentration and demographic risks here are real and directly tied to the population figure. At 6,472 residents, Dallas County has limited transaction volume, limited comparable sales data, and a small rental universe. Demand-side shocks, whether from population outmigration, employer closures, or demographic aging, have an outsized effect in markets this size. The 2.0% price appreciation is encouraging, but thin liquidity means an exit could take considerably longer than in a larger market, and pricing an asset for a quick sale could require a meaningful discount.
Among the neighboring counties in the data, Dallas County's $99,656 median is the lowest by a wide margin. Jefferson County comes closest at $84,271 but actually undercuts Dallas on price while showing a rent-to-price ratio of 0.126, which translates to meaningful cash-flow potential at that basis. If cash flow is the primary objective, Jefferson County's numbers are more compelling on the data available. Scott County ($152,008), Prairie County ($149,082), Grant County ($206,491), and Perry County ($182,366) all carry higher price points with similar or slightly higher overall scores in the 71 to 74 range, meaning you're paying more for roughly equivalent market quality. Choose Dallas County over its neighbors specifically when your thesis is lowest-possible-basis appreciation play, or when you've sourced a deep-discount acquisition that pencils on cash flow in a way the median-price scenario does not. Choose Jefferson County if the rent-to-price ratio is your primary filter and you can underwrite the specific submarket dynamics there.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 2.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Dallas County in Arkansas scores 73/100, ranking #88 of 1,000 US counties (top 11%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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