Evans County
Market Snapshot
Evans market analysis
Evans County sits at a median home price of $180,928 with 8.56% year-over-year appreciation, which tells you immediately where this market lives on the spectrum: this is an appreciation-first story, not a cash-flow machine. The affordability index of 91 confirms you're buying in cheap in absolute terms, and the county's 95th-percentile national ranking out of 1,000 counties scored reflects a genuine edge in value relative to what the market is delivering on the appreciation side. The appreciation score of 84 is the headline number here. The cash-flow score of 0 is equally telling: without rent, cap rate, and net operating income figures in the data set, the cash-flow picture can't be fully underwritten from this data alone, and investors should treat that as a flag to gather local rent comps before committing.
The investor this market suits is someone buying for medium-to-long-term price appreciation in a deeply affordable Southern Georgia county, not someone who needs the property to carry itself from month one. At $180,928 median, your entry cost is low enough that even modest rent coverage reduces your out-of-pocket carry substantially, but the score structure here, with appreciation at 84 and stability at only 50, signals that Evans is not a steady, boring market. A stability score of 50 in a county of 10,759 people means concentration and volatility risk are real. Value-add operators who can force equity through renovation and refinance into a hold position may find the entry price attractive, but pure cash-flow buyers chasing high gross-rent yields should look elsewhere unless they can verify local rents justify the carry.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden runs $193 at a 0.92% state-average effective property tax rate and 0.36% insurance rate, producing $1,665 in annual tax and $651 in annual insurance. The property tax flag is "normal," meaning the rate is neither a tailwind nor a headwind relative to Georgia's peer counties, so no outsized adjustment is needed on that line. That said, the note from Tax Foundation 2024 applies directly: this is a state-average estimate, and Evans County's actual millage rate may differ meaningfully from 0.92%, so pull the county tax assessor's current rate before finalizing your model. At a $180,928 purchase price with 20% down ($36,186), the $193/month T&I is material relative to any rent income this market produces, particularly if gross rents are thin.
The small population of 10,759 is the central risk in this market and it connects directly to the stability score of 50. A county this size has a shallow tenant pool, limited economic diversification by default, and meaningful sensitivity to any single employer contraction or out-migration. No economic anchor data was provided for Evans, so no specific employer or sector concentration can be cited, but any investor underwriting here should spend time understanding what drives local employment before closing. Regulatory risk and vacancy data are not available in the provided dataset and are not speculated on here.
Compared to its neighbors, Evans at $180,928 and an overall score of 76 occupies a mid-range position on both price and quality. Sumter County is the cheapest entry point at $136,878 and scores the highest among neighbors at 80, which makes it a more compelling option for an investor prioritizing score-per-dollar. Decatur County at $171,230 and a score of 77 edges Evans on the score at a lower price. Lanier County, at $210,779, is the most expensive neighbor, but it's also the only one where rent data is available: a median rent of $1,722.50 against a median price of $210,779 produces a rent-to-price ratio of 0.098%, which is thin but quantifiable, a real advantage over Evans where that ratio remains unknown. Toombs and Tattnall both score below Evans at 72 and 71 respectively. The case for choosing Evans over its neighbors comes down to one scenario: an investor who has done independent rent research confirming that local rents in Claxton or elsewhere in the county support reasonable coverage at a $180,928 price, and who wants the 8.56% appreciation trend at a slightly higher overall score than Toombs or Tattnall. Without rent data in hand, Sumter or Decatur represent more defensible entries at lower prices and comparable or better scores.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 8.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+8.6% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Evans County in Georgia scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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