Jeff Davis County
Market Snapshot
Jeff Davis market analysis
Jeff Davis County sits at a median home price of $154,368, which is low enough to make the entry math attractive on its face. The 9.26% year-over-year price appreciation is the headline number here, and the affordability index of 97 out of 100 confirms the county still has room to run before prices become a barrier to buyers or renters. The tool does not return cap rate or cash-on-cash figures for this county, meaning you'll need to source local rent comps directly before underwriting a deal, but the price point alone puts this squarely in appreciation-play territory. A $154,000 asset appreciating at 9.26% annually is adding roughly $14,300 in equity per year at that pace, which is where the real returns story lives here.
The scoring profile spells out the investment thesis cleanly: appreciation score of 82, affordability score of 97, stability score of 50, cash flow score of 0. That last number is a hard signal. This is not a market where you show up expecting positive monthly cash flow from day one. The cash-on-cash story is weak or absent, which means the investor who fits here is one who can carry the asset, values the equity build from price appreciation, and is not depending on net operating income to fund their lifestyle. A value-add operator might find something to work with given the low basis, but without rent data in the county-level input, that case isn't provable from the numbers on hand. The appreciation buyer, particularly one with a five-to-ten-year horizon and tolerance for a flat or slightly negative monthly carry, is the profile this market is built for.
The stability score of 50 deserves its own sentence. That is median, not a flag of distress, but it means this market does not have the diversified employer base or population density that buffers vacancy risk in a downturn. Jeff Davis County has a population of 14,791, which is a small pool of renters. Small-county markets can move quickly in either direction, and a single employer disruption or demographic shift can change your occupancy situation faster than it would in a metro. No economic anchor data was provided for this county, so the underlying driver of rental demand is not quantifiable from this dataset. That absence is itself a due-diligence item: before acquiring here, you want to understand what keeps people employed and housed locally.
On carry costs, the monthly tax and insurance figure comes to $165, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.92% and an insurance rate of 0.36%, applied to the $154,368 purchase price. The 0.92% rate carries a normal flag, meaning it is neither a material drag nor a tailwind relative to the national baseline. That said, this figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county or township rates in Jeff Davis may differ, so pull the county assessor data before finalizing your underwrite. At $165 per month combined, taxes and insurance are manageable at this price point, but they still need to be covered by rent, and with no rent data returned for the county, confirming that coverage requires outside research.
Compared to its neighbors, Jeff Davis ranks well overall, tying Decatur County at a score of 77 and outscoring Toombs (72), Tattnall (71), and Lanier (73). Only Sumter County at 80 scores higher in this peer group. Jeff Davis also comes in as the second-cheapest entry point among these neighbors, with only Sumter County at $136,878 offering a lower median price. Lanier County is the one direct comparison worth examining: at a median of $210,779, a rent-to-price ratio of 0.098, and a monthly rent of $1,722, Lanier shows what a more liquid small-county rental market can produce, and that ratio is reasonably attractive. The gap is that Lanier costs $56,000 more per door at the median. If your primary goal is appreciation and you want the lowest-cost entry into a Georgia market with a high national percentile rank, Jeff Davis, sitting at the 96th percentile nationally and 3rd in Georgia out of 159 counties, is the stronger fit. If you need demonstrable cash flow data before committing capital, Lanier gives you the rent comps to underwrite from; Jeff Davis does not, at least not from this dataset.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 9.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+9.3% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Jeff Davis County in Georgia scores 77/100, ranking #30 of 1,000 US counties (top 4%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Frequently asked questions
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