Lee market analysis
Lee County sits at a 6.32% gross rent-to-price ratio, which places it squarely in the middle ground between a pure cash-flow market and a pure appreciation play. The 4.11% cap rate tells a more precise story: at a 6.85% financing rate, there is no way to make levered returns work on a standard acquisition without either negotiating price, adding value, or bringing a larger down payment. The model underwrite confirms this, showing a negative $483 monthly cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -9.47% on a 20% down conventional purchase at $266,114. Year-over-year home price growth of 1.91% is real but modest, not the kind of appreciation velocity that compensates investors for negative carry. The affordability index of 73 and an overall score of 63, placing Lee in the 62nd percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties, rounds out a picture of a decent but unspectacular market that demands careful structuring.
Given those numbers, this county suits an appreciation buyer more than a cash-flow buyer, though only modestly. The appreciation score of 69 outpaces the cash-flow score of 63, consistent with a suburban Georgia county where home prices have risen and yields have compressed accordingly. A cash-flow buyer running the standard numbers gets punished immediately at current rates. A value-add operator has a more defensible thesis if they can acquire below $266,114, force appreciation through renovation, and refinance into a better basis, but the 4.11% cap rate on stabilized assets leaves little margin for error on acquisition price or rehab cost overruns. The stability score of 50 is the one number that should give any buyer pause: it signals meaningful volatility or concentration risk in the local economic base, and a long-hold appreciation strategy depends on that base not deteriorating.
The taxInsurance load is not a red flag here, but it is a real line item. Georgia's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.92% is categorized as normal, and the combined monthly tax and insurance figure comes to $284, which is already baked into the $491 estimated expense figure in the model. That said, the caveat matters: the 0.92% is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and actual Lee County or township rates may differ. Pull the county assessor's millage rate before closing, not after. At a $266,114 purchase price, even a modest rate difference of 0.20 to 0.30 percentage points moves your annual tax bill by $530 to $800, which on a deal already showing negative cash flow is not noise.
On specific risks, the stability score of 50 is the clearest data-supported concern. In a county of 32,968 people, rental demand is inherently concentrated, and any softening of the local employment base translates quickly into vacancy pressure with limited renter pool depth to absorb it. There is no economic anchors data provided for this county, so the composition of the employment base cannot be assessed here. What is knowable from the data is that you are underwriting a small market with average stability and negative levered cash flow. That combination means this is not a market where you can afford to hold a vacant property for multiple months while waiting on a tenant. Underwrite conservatively on vacancy, and build reserves accordingly.
Compared to its neighbors, Lee County lands in the middle on price at $266,114. Pike County is significantly more expensive at $379,371, and without a rent figure in the data, its yield profile is unclear, though its overall score of 61 suggests it is not outperforming. Burke County at $175,435 and Chattahoochee County at $138,388 are far cheaper entry points, both scoring 61 overall, and lower prices generally support better yield math at comparable rent levels. Floyd County at $227,971 and a 6.42% rent-to-price ratio is the closest yield competitor to Lee, and its slightly higher ratio suggests marginally better cash-flow potential at a lower price point, for a comparable overall score of 62. Walker County is the standout in this peer set: $232,549 median price paired with $1,447 median rent produces a 7.46% rent-to-price ratio and an overall score of 61, meaning an investor chasing yield would find Walker's math more favorable than Lee's, assuming comparable financing and expense structures. Lee County makes the most sense over its neighbors for an investor who specifically wants the slightly higher price-point suburban Georgia profile, has conviction on local appreciation, and can either bring enough equity to neutralize the negative carry or has access to a value-add deal that peers at below-market pricing.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $199,586 | -$135/mo | 5.5% | -3.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $266,114 | -$483/mo | 4.1% | -9.5% |
125% of median newer / premium | $332,643 | -$832/mo | 3.3% | -13.1% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.32% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 1.9% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$483/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Lee County in Georgia scores 63/100, ranking #295 of 1,000 US counties (top 38%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $483/month; the 6.32% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.