Stephens market analysis
Stephens County lands at a $238,453 median home price with year-over-year appreciation of just 1.31%, which tells you immediately that this is not a price-growth story. The affordability index of 79 is a real number worth respecting: entry costs are accessible relative to income, and that keeps the buyer pool broad for an eventual exit. Without rent and cap rate figures in the dataset, a precise gross yield or cash-on-cash return cannot be calculated here, but the overall score of 64 placing it in the 65th percentile nationally, paired with a cash flow score of 0 and an appreciation score of 63, draws a clear picture. The market scores meaningfully on appreciation relative to its peers but offers no modeled cash flow advantage at current prices and a 6.85% rate. That combination puts Stephens squarely in the middle of the spectrum: not a cash flow play, not a high-growth appreciation market, but a modestly appreciating, affordable market where the margin for error on underwriting is thin.
The investor profile this market fits is a patient, low-leverage buyer or a value-add operator who can manufacture equity rather than wait for the market to deliver it. A pure cash flow buyer should look elsewhere: the cash flow score of 0 is an unambiguous signal that at $238,453 with a conventional 20% down payment ($47,691) and a 6.85% rate, the numbers do not pencil on a stabilized basis without rent upside. An appreciation buyer gets a stability score of only 50, which suggests the trajectory is not consistent enough to justify a speculative hold. The most sensible use case is an operator who can acquire below the $238,453 median, force value through renovation or unit improvements, and then refinance or sell into a buyer pool that an affordability index of 79 keeps reasonably healthy.
The economic context for Stephens County is not provided in the underlying data, so employer concentration and demand drivers cannot be characterized here. What the population figure of 26,732 does tell you is that this is a small market. Small markets carry idiosyncratic risk: a single employer departure or demographic shift can move vacancy meaningfully in a pool this size, and that risk deserves weight even without specific employer data to cite.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure is $254, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 0.92% and an insurance rate of 0.36%. The 0.92% rate is flagged as "normal" for Georgia, so it is neither a tailwind nor a headwind, but $254 per month is a real number on a deal where cash flow is already at zero. It belongs on every underwrite before you model rent growth or value-add upside. The honest caveat from the data source applies: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024, and the actual Stephens County or township rate may differ, so pull the county tax records directly before closing.
The primary risk this data supports is scale. A population of 26,732 means the rental market is thin, and concentration in any one asset class or submarket within the county amplifies vacancy exposure. Demographic trends are not provided, so no comment can be made on population trajectory, but a stability score of 50 out of 100 implies the market has shown inconsistency, and in a small county that inconsistency is harder to diversify away from than it would be in a larger MSA.
Comparing Stephens to its neighbors sharpens the picture. Floyd County at $227,970 median and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.064 offers slightly lower entry with a quantified yield benchmark, though its overall score of 62 runs two points below Stephens. Lee County is the standout in this peer group: a $266,122 median paired with a rent-to-price ratio of 0.077 and the highest overall score of the group at 66. That 7.7% gross yield ratio in Lee suggests materially better income coverage before financing costs, which is why a cash flow-oriented investor should seriously compare Lee before committing to Stephens. Burke County at $175,435 offers the lowest entry price in this comparison set with an overall score of 61, which could appeal to a deep value buyer, though the data does not include rent figures to assess yield. Choose Stephens over its neighbors when your thesis is specifically built around affordable entry at a price point below Lee County, value-add execution where you control the return rather than depending on market rent levels, and a long enough hold to let the 63 appreciation score play out.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 1.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Stephens County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Stephens County in Georgia scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.