Decatur County
Market Snapshot
Decatur market analysis
Decatur County sits at a median home price of $263,989 with year-over-year appreciation of 5.33%, landing it firmly on the appreciation end of the buy-and-hold spectrum. The cash flow score of 0 is the number that defines the investment case here: this is not a market where you buy, collect rent, and cover your mortgage comfortably from day one. The 86th national percentile ranking and an appreciation score of 87 out of 100 tell a consistent story, one of a market where the investment thesis is price growth, not monthly surplus. Without a published cap rate or gross rent multiplier in the data, precise yield calculations are not available, but the affordability index of 73 and the appreciation momentum suggest the market is pricing in future value rather than current income.
The investor this market suits is an appreciation buyer or a patient buy-and-hold operator willing to accept thin or neutral monthly cash flow in exchange for price upside. The 5.33% annual price gain on a $263,989 median translates to roughly $14,070 in paper equity per year on a median-priced asset, which is the real return driver. A cash-flow buyer targeting a 1% rent-to-price ratio or better should redirect attention elsewhere; the data does not support that profile here. A value-add operator could potentially make the numbers work by forcing appreciation through renovation and resetting rents above market, but the underlying income yield on stabilized assets appears compressed. The stability score of 50 also signals that this is not a set-it-and-forget-it market; some active management of vacancy and rent levels is likely required to preserve returns.
The economic context provided does not include specific employer anchors or an economy note for Decatur County. With a population of 26,432, this is a small county, and small-county markets carry inherent concentration risk: a single large employer expanding or contracting can move vacancy rates and median rents materially. That concentration risk is worth stress-testing before committing capital, particularly given the stability score of 50, which sits exactly at the midpoint and does not convey a diversified or insulated local economy.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure comes to $249, using Indiana's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.85% and an insurance rate of 0.28%. The tax rate falls in the normal range, so it does not require a special flag in your underwrite, though the standard caveat applies: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Decatur County or township rates may differ, meaning you should pull the county assessor's figures before finalizing any pro forma. At $249 per month, taxes and insurance are a real line item but not an outsized drag relative to the purchase price. The $52,798 down payment at 20% and a 6.85% interest rate establish the financing baseline; at that rate on the remaining $211,191, the principal and interest payment alone is approximately $1,386 per month, which sets a high bar for any rent level to clear before turning cash flow positive.
The primary risks here are concentration and demographic scale. A population of 26,432 means the rental pool is narrow, and absorption of new rental inventory or vacancy from a softening employer base can move the needle quickly. Regulatory risk is not flagged in the data, so no specific concern can be cited there. Demographic trends are also not provided, but small Indiana counties broadly face headwinds from younger population outmigration to Indianapolis and other metros, a dynamic worth investigating locally even if the data here does not confirm or deny it for Decatur specifically.
Against its neighbors, Decatur County at $263,989 is mid-range. Howard County is the outlier at $185,850 with a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0649 and a median rent of $1,006, which is the only neighbor in the dataset with published rent figures. That ratio indicates meaningfully better gross yield than the implied yield in Decatur, making Howard County the more natural choice for a cash-flow buyer even though both carry the same overall score of 72. Orange County at $182,101 offers the lowest entry price in the neighbor set and a slightly higher overall score of 73, making it worth a look if capital preservation and cash-flow potential are priorities. Lagrange County at $322,425 and Whitley County at $272,520 are higher-priced with the same or lower scores, offering no obvious advantage over Decatur. Choose Decatur over its neighbors when the thesis is price appreciation at a sub-$265,000 entry point with Indiana's manageable tax environment, and when you can underwrite to a rent level that at least covers carry costs pending price gains.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 5.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+5.3% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Decatur County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Decatur County in Indiana scores 72/100, ranking #113 of 1,000 US counties (top 14%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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