Hamilton market analysis
Hamilton County sits firmly in appreciation territory, and the numbers make that clear before you run a single underwrite. The median home price of $466,276 produces a gross rent-to-price ratio of just 0.047, which annualizes to roughly 4.7%, and a cap rate of 3.09% at current financing. With a 20% down payment and a 6.85% note, the monthly mortgage alone comes in at $2,444, against a median rent of $1,845. Add $646 in estimated monthly expenses and you're looking at negative $1,245 in monthly cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of negative 13.93%. Those figures aren't rounding errors; they're structural. Hamilton scores 41 out of 100 on cash flow and lands in the 27th percentile nationally across 1,000 counties. The flip side is an appreciation score of 78, year-over-year home price growth of 2.78%, and an overall score of 51. This county rewards equity, not income.
That profile filters the investor pool significantly. Cash-flow buyers should stop here and redirect to the neighbor section. Appreciation buyers, particularly those with larger down payments who can compress the monthly carry deficit or who have access to below-market financing, will find Hamilton a credible long-term hold. The affordability index of 33 signals that rents are already being compressed against the price stack, so don't expect the rent-to-price ratio to close materially through organic rent growth alone. A value-add operator who can push rents meaningfully above the $1,845 median might pencil a deal in select submarkets, but the county-wide math doesn't build that case on its own. The investor who fits here is buying into a high-income suburban market with durable home price appreciation, willing to subsidize carry in the near term for long-term equity.
No economic anchors were provided in the underlying data, so this analysis won't speculate on specific employers or industries. What the population figure does tell you is that Hamilton County, at 349,527 residents, is a sizable suburban county, almost certainly drawing from the Indianapolis metro. Markets of this scale with appreciation scores near 80 tend to reflect sustained in-migration and income growth rather than speculative price spikes, but that inference stays soft without hard employment data.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure of $439 is already baked into the $646 expense estimate, but it's worth isolating. Indiana's state-average effective property tax rate used here is 0.85%, which the Tax Foundation classifies as normal, and at $466,276 in purchase price that produces $3,963 in annual taxes and $1,306 in annual insurance. Neither number is alarming in isolation, but together they represent a meaningful fixed-cost floor in a market where your rents aren't covering the mortgage. One important caveat: the 0.85% is a state-average estimate; actual county and township rates in Hamilton may deviate, so pull the assessor data for any specific parcel before finalizing your underwrite.
The principal risk in Hamilton is straightforward: the price-to-rent relationship requires ongoing subsidization from a buyer who believes in price appreciation continuing. If price growth decelerates below the cost of carry, the thesis weakens quickly. The affordability index of 33 also signals that the pool of qualified renters for a $1,845-per-month unit is narrower than in lower-cost markets, which can extend vacancy between tenancies even if the overall rental market remains functional. There are no vacancy or regulatory statistics in the provided data to quantify that risk further, so size it conservatively in your own modeling.
Compared to its neighbors, Hamilton is the most expensive and the lowest-yielding county in this set. Tippecanoe County offers a rent-to-price ratio of 6.35% against a median price of $288,669 and carries an overall score of 61, twenty points higher than Hamilton's cash-flow score and ten points higher overall. Hendricks County hits 6.24% rent-to-price at $334,633 with an overall score of 61. Even Boone County, the closest analog in price at $408,148, delivers a 5.22% ratio and scores 62 overall. Kosciusko and Porter round out the group at overall scores of 58 and 59, respectively, both with lower price points and better yield ratios. An investor prioritizing current income should look at Tippecanoe or Hendricks before Hamilton. The case for Hamilton over any of them is precisely the 78 appreciation score, the population base, and the thesis that suburban Indianapolis pricing has more room to run than smaller or more distant markets. Choose Hamilton when you're buying equity and can carry the gap; choose a neighbor when the rent check needs to support the mortgage.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $349,707 | -$634/mo | 4.1% | -9.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $466,276 | -$1,245/mo | 3.1% | -13.9% |
125% of median newer / premium | $582,845 | -$1,856/mo | 2.5% | -16.6% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 4.75% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.8% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.75%)
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,245/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Hamilton County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Hamilton County in Indiana scores 51/100, ranking #575 of 1,000 US counties (top 73%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1245/month; the 4.75% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like Hamilton with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Hamilton
Average rent by city in Hamilton County
- Average rent in Carmel$1,982/mo
- Average rent in Fishers$1,886/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.