Calhoun market analysis
Calhoun County sits at a median home price of $159,427 with 10.1% year-over-year appreciation, which tells you immediately that this is not a market you buy for day-one cash flow. The investable story here is price growth relative to entry cost. At a 96 affordability index, the county scores near the top of that dimension, and its national percentile rank of 95th out of 1,000 counties underscores how competitively priced it is on an absolute basis. The appreciation score of 80 confirms the directional momentum. What the data does not show is a positive cap rate or cash-on-cash return, which means anyone underwriting this purely on current income is going to have a hard time making the numbers work at a 6.85% rate and a $31,885 down payment on the median asset.
That profile narrows the field of who this market actually suits. Appreciation buyers and patient long-hold investors are the right fit. The 10.1% price gain in a single year at a $159,427 median is a meaningful nominal return, and the entry price is low enough that even modest continued appreciation compounds meaningfully on a small equity base. A cash-flow-focused buyer, however, should look elsewhere: the cash flow score is listed at zero, and with monthly carrying costs including tax and insurance alone running $248 per month (more on that below), you need rents that clear a high bar to generate positive returns, and the data does not support that expectation here. Value-add operators who can force appreciation through renovation might find a use case given the affordable entry, but thin rent ceilings in a county of under 10,000 people cap the upside on that strategy.
No economic anchor or employer data was provided for Calhoun County, so the job-base picture cannot be assessed from this dataset. What the population figure of 9,893 does tell you is that this is a small, likely rural Iowa county. That scale matters for rental demand: tenant pools are shallow, vacancy risk is concentrated, and a single large employer departure or demographic shift can move the market materially. The stability score of 50 reflects exactly that kind of exposure. Investors used to metro or even mid-size secondary markets should recalibrate their assumptions about absorption rates and the time it takes to place a quality tenant.
The tax and insurance carry cost deserves a dedicated line on your underwrite. Iowa's state-average effective property tax rate is 1.53%, which the Tax Foundation flags as high, and at that rate the annual tax bill on the median asset runs approximately $2,439. Combined with $542 in annual insurance, you are looking at $248 per month in combined tax and insurance before you account for mortgage, maintenance, management, or vacancy. At 6.85% on an 80% LTV loan, the mortgage payment adds further pressure. The 1.53% rate is a state-average estimate, and actual Calhoun County or township rates may differ, but if anything, rural Iowa counties can run higher than the state average. Run your own county-level lookup before finalizing any offer-price math, and treat that tax rate as a real underwriting constraint, not a rounding error.
The population size is the most significant risk factor the data surfaces. A county under 10,000 people has limited diversification across tenant demand, local business cycles, and resale liquidity. If you need to exit, buyer depth is limited and days-on-market will be longer than in Carroll County to the south at $199,882 or Crawford County at $174,920. Neither of those neighbors carries a meaningfully higher overall score (both at 77 versus Calhoun's 76), but their higher price points suggest deeper local economic activity, which typically correlates with more liquid resale markets and broader tenant demand. Regulatory risk and vacancy rate data are not provided, so no claims can be made in those areas.
Against its neighbors, Calhoun's case comes down to price. At $159,427 it is cheaper than Carroll ($199,882), Crawford ($174,920), and Fremont ($166,833), while carrying essentially the same overall score as Fremont and Carroll (77 versus 76). Hardin County at $139,169 is the only neighbor that undercuts Calhoun on price while scoring slightly higher overall at 77, which makes Hardin worth a close look if pure entry cost is the primary variable. Audubon at $149,990 and an overall score of 75 is cheaper than Calhoun but scores lower. The case for choosing Calhoun over its neighbors is specifically the combination of top-4-percent national affordability ranking, the 10.1% appreciation rate, and a score that holds up against higher-priced peers. Choose it when your thesis is long-term price appreciation on a low-dollar-entry asset and you can absorb near-zero current cash flow for several years. Pass on it if you need the property to carry itself from day one.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 10.1% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+10.1% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Calhoun County in Iowa scores 76/100, ranking #40 of 1,000 US counties (top 5%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.