Dickinson market analysis
Dickinson County sits at a median home price of $172,854, up 4.53% year-over-year, with an affordability index of 93 out of 100. That combination, affordable entry with above-average appreciation momentum, places this market toward the appreciation end of the buy-and-hold spectrum. The dataset does not include a cap rate or estimated cash flow for this county, which means investors need to run their own rent comps before underwriting any specific acquisition. What the data does confirm is that the price point is low enough to leave room for a deal to pencil if local rents are in reasonable alignment with values, but do not assume positive cash flow without verified rent data.
The scoring profile clarifies the positioning: an appreciation score of 85 and an affordability score of 93 both rank well, while the cash flow score of 0 and stability score of 50 signal caution. A cash-flow-first buyer who needs day-one surplus is not the target investor here. The appreciation buyer, particularly one willing to hold five-plus years and bet on continued price momentum at 4.53% annually, has a more defensible thesis. A value-add operator could also find the entry price of $172,854 workable if forced appreciation through renovation can bridge the gap between purchase cost and rent-justified value. At a 20% down payment of $34,571 and a 6.85% interest rate, the mortgage load is not trivial relative to likely rents in an 18,492-person county, which is why the absence of a computed cap rate matters and why investors should stress-test their underwrite against realistic local gross rent figures before committing.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance comes to $287, using a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.41% (Tax Foundation 2024) and an insurance rate of 0.58%. That note from the source data deserves repeating: the 1.41% is a state-average estimate, and actual Dickinson County or township rates may differ, so pull the county assessor's figures for any specific parcel before finalizing your numbers. At "normal" for Kansas, the tax rate is not a red flag, but at $2,437 annually on a $172,854 asset, it is still a meaningful line item. Insurance at $1,003 per year reflects Kansas's exposure to severe weather, including hail and wind, and that figure should be verified with a local carrier because rural Kansas properties can carry higher actual premiums than state averages suggest.
The population of 18,492 is the most relevant risk factor the data surfaces directly. Small-county markets carry concentration risk by definition: a single large employer slowing hiring, a demographic outflow trend, or a regional economic shift can soften rents and lengthen vacancy periods faster than in a 200,000-person MSA. No economic anchor employers are listed in the dataset, so this analysis cannot speak to the stability of the local employment base. The stability score of 50 likely reflects exactly this uncertainty. Investors underwriting Dickinson should independently research the county's major employers, population trend over the past decade, and whether the county seat, Abilene, is gaining or losing working-age residents before sizing a position.
Compared to the five neighboring counties provided, Dickinson's $172,854 median price sits in the middle of the range, above Grant ($146,433) and Sherman ($146,739) but below Kearny ($185,891) and roughly in line with Atchison ($174,878). Its overall score of 77 matches Grant and Kearny, edges out Linn (76) and Atchison (75), and trails Sherman by one point at 78. The score differences across this peer group are narrow enough that the decision between counties should turn on hyperlocal factors rather than composite rankings. Grant and Sherman offer meaningfully lower entry prices, which could improve cash flow math if rents in those markets are not proportionally lower. Sherman's marginally higher overall score at a $26,000 lower price point is worth a direct comparison look. Dickinson makes the most sense over its neighbors when an investor specifically values the 4.53% year-over-year appreciation rate and has verified that local rents support the carry at the current price level. If cash flow is the primary objective and rents do not clearly cover expenses at $172,854, the cheaper entry points in Grant or Sherman may produce a better outcome.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 4.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Dickinson County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Dickinson County in Kansas scores 77/100, ranking #30 of 1,000 US counties (top 4%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.