Sedgwick market analysis
Sedgwick County sits at a 6.52% rent-to-price ratio and a 4.24% cap rate, which puts it squarely in the middle ground between pure cash-flow and pure appreciation plays. At a $223,622 median home price and $1,215 median rent, the market is affordable in absolute terms, but the math at today's financing costs is unforgiving. Running a 20% down payment at 6.85%, the model produces a negative $382 monthly cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -8.91%. That figure deserves a plain reading: leveraged, at-market acquisitions with conventional financing do not pencil on day one under these rate conditions. The 4.24% cap rate tells a similar story, sitting below the cost of debt and offering no spread to cushion operating variance. Home prices grew 2.57% year-over-year, which is real appreciation but not the kind that compensates quickly for negative carry. The affordability index of 82 and a national percentile rank of 73rd out of 1,000 counties suggest this is a legitimate, mid-tier investor market, not a bargain basement and not a speculative froth zone.
The investor profile this market fits most naturally is a cash-heavy buyer or a value-add operator who can close the gap between the going-in cap rate and debt cost through rent upside or price basis reduction. A buyer who can put 35 to 40% down, or one buying below-market distressed assets and forcing value through renovation, can restructure the return profile meaningfully. The negative cash-on-cash at 20% down is a rate environment problem as much as a market problem, and the 6.52% gross yield leaves room to work if acquisition cost drops or rents rise. Appreciation buyers get a reasonable case: 2.57% annual price growth in an affordably priced market with a population of 522,700 implies a stable, owner-occupier demand base. But this is not a market to hold at negative carry hoping for 8% annual appreciation to bail you out.
Sedgwick County is anchored by Wichita, the county seat and Kansas's largest city, which brings scale to the local rental demand pool that smaller Kansas counties simply cannot match. A population of 522,700 supports a diversified renter base across income levels, and that scale provides some insulation against the single-employer concentration risk that plagues smaller markets. The stability score of 50 is worth pausing on: it is the weakest of the five scored categories and suggests the market carries more cyclical or structural volatility than its affordable price point alone would imply. Investors should probe local employment sector concentration before committing capital.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden of $371 is material against a $1,215 rent. At a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.41%, Kansas is in the "normal" range, not a tailwind but not a penalty either. Still, $3,153 in annual property tax and $1,297 in annual insurance add up to $371 per month before a single dollar of mortgage, maintenance, or vacancy is counted. That $371 is already embedded in the -$382 monthly cash flow figure, so it is not additive, but it illustrates why the margin is so thin at conventional leverage. The tax rate used is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and county or township-level rates in Sedgwick can deviate from that figure, so verify the actual mill levy on any specific parcel before finalizing your underwrite.
Compared to its neighbors, Sedgwick's rent-to-price ratio of 6.52% falls between Shawnee County at 6.86% and Butler County at 6.06%. Shawnee County, at a $198,892 median price and 6.86% ratio, actually offers modestly better gross yield at lower price points, and with the same overall score of 67, it deserves a direct comparison for any investor who is not anchored to Wichita specifically. Butler County at $241,761 and 6.06% is the most expensive neighbor with the weakest gross yield among those with rent data, making it hard to justify over Sedgwick on income metrics alone despite its marginally higher overall score of 68. Harvey County at $185,152 and a 5.58% ratio is cheaper in price but weaker on yield. Cherokee County and Marshall County lack rent data in this dataset, so direct yield comparisons are not possible. Choose Sedgwick over its neighbors when scale matters: the population of 522,700 dwarfs every county in this peer group, which translates to a deeper tenant pool, more property management options, and more liquidity when it comes time to exit.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $167,717 | -$89/mo | 5.7% | -2.8% |
Median typical MLS deal | $223,622 | -$382/mo | 4.2% | -8.9% |
125% of median newer / premium | $279,528 | -$675/mo | 3.4% | -12.6% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
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Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.52% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$382/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.2% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Sedgwick County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Sedgwick County in Kansas scores 67/100, ranking #208 of 1,000 US counties (top 27%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $382/month; the 6.52% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like Sedgwick with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Sedgwick
Head-to-head comparisons
Average rent by city in Sedgwick County
- Average rent in Wichita$1,270/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.