East Carroll Parish market analysis
East Carroll Parish sits at the extreme low end of the price spectrum, with a median home price of $68,259, an affordability score of 100 out of 100, and a national ranking in the 15th percentile overall. Those numbers tell you this is not a market where appreciation carries the investment thesis: home prices are down 11.5% year-over-year, the appreciation score is 2 out of 100, and the overall score lands at 46 out of 1,000 nationally assessed counties. The cash flow score registers at zero, meaning the data does not support a clean rent-to-price story either. With cap rate and cash-on-cash return both returning zero in the model, this is a market where the headline price looks attractive but the underlying economics do not pencil into a clear buy-and-hold structure without significant additional underwriting on the ground.
The investor profile this market theoretically attracts is the deep-value or distressed-asset buyer, someone acquiring at prices well below $70,000 and betting on gross rent multiples that compensate for the carry risk. But the cash flow score of zero is a hard signal that even at this price point, the numbers are not producing reliable returns in the model. An appreciation buyer has even less reason to be here: an 11.5% price decline in a single year and an appreciation score of 2 are not the profile of a market building long-term equity. A value-add operator, the type who acquires distressed single-family or small multifamily at $40,000 to $60,000, renovates, and rents to a local workforce, is the narrowest plausible use case, but that strategy demands boots-on-the-ground knowledge of local rental demand and tenant depth that aggregate data cannot confirm.
The economic context matters here and it matters a lot. East Carroll Parish has a population of 7,371, which is small enough that the rental market is thin by definition. A small parish economy with no economic anchors provided in the data offers no institutional backstop for rental demand. Thin population, no named employers, and a double-digit annual price decline are three data points pointing in the same direction: demand is not growing, and may be contracting. An investor underwriting this market needs to independently verify whether there is a functional tenant base, what vacancy looks like locally, and whether population trends are flat or declining, because the aggregate data here does not provide those answers.
On carry costs, the tax and insurance picture is actually one of the few constructive elements in this dataset. Louisiana's state-average effective property tax rate is 0.55%, flagged as low, which on a $68,259 purchase generates an estimated $375 in annual property taxes. Combined with an estimated $451 in annual insurance, the monthly tax-and-insurance load is approximately $69. That is a genuinely low carry cost, and on a property in this price range it matters. Bear in mind this is a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual county or township rates may differ, so verify the local millage before closing. The low tax rate does not rescue a deal with no demonstrated cash flow, but it does reduce the monthly drag on any investor who is holding and waiting.
The primary risks here are concentration and demographic. A market of 7,371 people with declining home prices has very little margin for error. A single large tenant turnover, a major employer exit, or continued population loss could push vacancy to levels that make carrying costs unrecoverable. The 11.5% year-over-year price decline is the clearest risk signal in the data: whatever the cause, buyers are not competing for assets here, and that has real implications for both exit liquidity and refinance options down the road. Regulatory risk is not flagged in the data, so no assumption is made, but Louisiana's insurance market broadly has been under stress, and while the estimated insurance rate of 0.66% is built into this model, investors should independently quote actual policies before underwriting.
Compared to its neighbors, East Carroll Parish offers the lowest median home price in the group at $68,259, well below Morehouse Parish at $82,759, Concordia Parish at $112,373, Evangeline Parish at $102,561, Saint Landry Parish at $126,787, and Richland Parish at $157,785. But overall scores across all five neighbors are tightly clustered between 41 and 46, and East Carroll Parish ties Evangeline Parish at 46 while sitting at the bottom of state rankings at 46th out of 64 Louisiana parishes. The lower price does not translate into a meaningfully better investment score relative to any neighbor. Morehouse Parish, at $82,759 and a score of 44, is close enough in price to be worth a direct comparison, and Richland Parish at $157,785 with a score of 43 suggests that higher-priced markets in this region are not producing better outcomes either. An investor should choose East Carroll Parish over a neighbor only if they have specific deal-level intelligence, such as a known property at a price well below the median with a confirmed tenant in place, that makes the individual asset underwrite despite the market-level headwinds. On market fundamentals alone, nothing in this dataset argues for preferring East Carroll Parish over the available alternatives.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -11.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-11.5% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
| County | Verdict | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CurrentEast Carroll ParishLA | 46 | $68,259 | Est. pending | — | Hold | |
Evangeline ParishLA | 46 | $102,561 | Est. pending | — | Hold | View |
Saint Landry ParishLA | 45 | $126,787 | Est. pending | — | Hold | View |
Morehouse ParishLA | 44 | $82,759 | Est. pending | — | Avoid | View |
Richland ParishLA | 43 | $157,785 | Est. pending | — | Avoid | View |
Concordia ParishLA | 41 | $112,373 | Est. pending | — | Avoid | View |
Section 8 in East Carroll Parish: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
East Carroll Parish in Louisiana scores 46/100, ranking #667 of 1,000 US counties (top 85%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.