Raleigh rent & investment research · NC
Raleigh metro rent report
Value Raleigh’s retained leases before bidding on a re-leasing premium.
Zillow all-home metro asking-rent index · All bedroom counts · Seasonally adjusted
By RentalCalcs editorial · Reviewed

The investment view
Favor an operating small property with productive household leases and a basis supported by today’s net collections. South Cary/Apex apartment conditions improved, but the wider recovery has not eliminated price competition. Test renewal income against turn costs, downtime and any concession before assuming a higher advertised rent improves the next twelve months.
Raleigh-Cary’s asking-rent index is a three-county benchmark
Typical asking rent is $1,669 monthly, +1.7% over one year and +2.0% over three. Zillow’s provider market covers Wake, Johnston and Franklin counties in North Carolina. Durham is a separate metro; research labeled Raleigh-Durham has wider coverage than this headline.
Monthly rent data
| Month | Typical rent |
|---|---|
| September 2021 | $1,472 |
| October 2021 | $1,491 |
| November 2021 | $1,508 |
| December 2021 | $1,523 |
| January 2022 | $1,536 |
| February 2022 | $1,546 |
| March 2022 | $1,558 |
| April 2022 | $1,572 |
| May 2022 | $1,584 |
| June 2022 | $1,597 |
| July 2022 | $1,606 |
| August 2022 | $1,613 |
| September 2022 | $1,618 |
| October 2022 | $1,620 |
| November 2022 | $1,620 |
| December 2022 | $1,622 |
| January 2023 | $1,626 |
| February 2023 | $1,633 |
| March 2023 | $1,640 |
| April 2023 | $1,643 |
| May 2023 | $1,643 |
| June 2023 | $1,636 |
| July 2023 | $1,635 |
| August 2023 | $1,633 |
| September 2023 | $1,636 |
| October 2023 | $1,633 |
| November 2023 | $1,632 |
| December 2023 | $1,632 |
| January 2024 | $1,633 |
| February 2024 | $1,635 |
| March 2024 | $1,632 |
| April 2024 | $1,634 |
| May 2024 | $1,635 |
| June 2024 | $1,639 |
| July 2024 | $1,639 |
| August 2024 | $1,638 |
| September 2024 | $1,633 |
| October 2024 | $1,635 |
| November 2024 | $1,636 |
| December 2024 | $1,641 |
| January 2025 | $1,642 |
| February 2025 | $1,643 |
| March 2025 | $1,645 |
| April 2025 | $1,646 |
| May 2025 | $1,646 |
| June 2025 | $1,644 |
| July 2025 | $1,642 |
| August 2025 | $1,642 |
| September 2025 | $1,641 |
| October 2025 | $1,642 |
| November 2025 | $1,643 |
| December 2025 | $1,641 |
| January 2026 | $1,641 |
| February 2026 | $1,640 |
| March 2026 | $1,641 |
| April 2026 | $1,642 |
| May 2026 | $1,645 |
| June 2026 | $1,650 |
| July 2026 | $1,655 |
| August 2026 | $1,661 |
| September 2026 | $1,669 |
The consequential operating choice is whether a productive lease should be renewed or replaced at a proposed higher rent. A recovering market can make re-leasing easier without making it free. Value the cash received during the actual next year, then test the stabilized result separately.
South Cary/Apex improved, while listing incentives still matter
| Apartment geography | Vacancy |
|---|---|
| Broader Raleigh-Durham | 7.8% |
| South Cary/Apex | 5.6% |
| Central Raleigh | 7.1% |
Northmarq reports stronger conditions in South Cary/Apex than in its broader apartment market. That makes well-located existing housing there worth screening, but its asking-rent average of $1,800 is a mix of properties. It is not the premium earned by renovating one house, adding a bedroom or replacing a reliable tenant.
Rental Beast’s included Raleigh-Cary listings show concessions on 60.7% of Q2 listings, below 66.6% in Q1. The sample’s median marketing time was 22 days. These are selected listing measures with unavailable sample counts, not vacancy across the rental stock, a guaranteed lease-up period or a measure of the size of each incentive. Its one-to-four-unit category also differs from a detached-home-only sample.
The studies can describe improvement while an individual owner still has to compete on price. IRR’s August perspective notes that asking-price adjustments can substitute for recurring explicit concessions. Compare net lease terms and actual payments, not just whether an advertisement says “free month.” A lower asking rent and a gift card can change cash in different months even when their annual cost is similar.
A higher re-list price must repay the turn before it improves the year
Assumed one-unit renewal decision · same twelve-month horizon
| Re-leasing scenario | After turn and leasing fee | Difference from renewal |
|---|---|---|
| 0 months unavailable; 0 free | $18,775 | -$1,625 |
| 1 month unavailable; 0 free | $16,925 | -$3,475 |
| 1 month unavailable; 1 free | $15,075 | -$5,325 |
| 2 months unavailable; 1 free | $13,225 | -$7,175 |
The proposed monthly increase is $150, or $1,800 over a fully paid year before extra expenses. It does not automatically cover a turn, leasing fee and interruption. The one-month-unavailable case earns $3,475 less than renewal during the comparison year, even before any additional concession.
This is a cash comparison, not a reason to defer necessary safety work or retain an unsustainable lease. A turn can be the better choice when work is required, collections are failing, the existing lease is ending regardless or matched accepted rents support a much larger premium. Model those circumstances directly. The countercase also strengthens when the owner can complete work sooner at a verified lower cost.
Keep the horizon honest. Future fully occupied years may collect the higher rent without repeating initial turn costs, but that future premium needs time to repay the first-year cash deficit. Do not capitalize a temporary turn expense as a permanent NOI loss, or count an assumed later refinance as money available to fund this year.
Durham permits are not completed Raleigh apartments

Northmarq describes slower recent deliveries alongside stronger apartment demand, while identifying renewed permitting in Durham. Those stages matter at different times. A permit is not a start; a construction site is not a delivered unit; a completed building may still need to lease. Durham’s separate geography also prevents turning a Triangle headline into a three-county Raleigh supply count.
- At renewal: compare apartments or houses actually available to this tenant, including full charges and incentives.
- Before an acquisition: identify nearby projects with credible delivery and leasing dates; fund any overlapping competition.
- Before paying for a supply gap: require evidence that fewer openings translate into sustained accepted net rents and retention at this property.
The optimistic case is that a lighter completion calendar improves pricing over time. The cautious case is that current landlords still reduce effective lease costs to fill existing inventory. A purchase should survive the latter without paying in advance for the former. Revisit the assumption after competing properties stabilize and your actual renewal and re-leasing outcomes improve.
A household rental needs its own lease terms and building budget
For a house or small building, compare usable bedrooms, layout, outdoor maintenance, parking, pets and who pays utilities. A tower’s amenity package, apartment mix and mandatory fees can make its nominal rent a poor substitute. A house is not automatically cheaper to operate: its roof, mechanical equipment and exterior can expose a small number of leases to a large bill.
Separate Central Raleigh, Cary/Apex and a Johnston or Franklin County address by the actual tenant search area and trip to work. Do not invent commute minutes or a uniform premium for being near a named employment center. Test the route and lease alternatives relevant to the property, then verify the matched net rent.
Before an elective renovation, price its downtime and maintenance alongside the expected premium. Before increasing a renewal, compare the whole household lease cost and the owner’s transition cash. Both choices should preserve the property’s ability to pay necessary repairs and debt.
Test acquisition income at today’s rents before assuming recovery
Acquisition lab · assumed Raleigh property
Editable assumptions, not an available listing or financing quote. Closing costs are fixed at 3% of purchase price; repairs are paid upfront. No appreciation, tax benefits, refinancing proceeds or rent growth are needed to generate the results.
Edit property assumptions
| Measure | Base | Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Scheduled rent | $81,600 | $77,520 |
| After vacancy / collection loss | $75,072 | $68,993 |
| Net operating income (NOI) | $45,072 | $35,993 |
| Annual loan payments | $28,201 | $28,201 |
| Cash after debt + capital reserve | $12,871 | $3,792 |
| Debt coverage (NOI ÷ payments) | 1.60× | 1.28× |
NOI excludes financing and capital reserves. Operating expenses must include taxes, insurance, management, routine maintenance and owner-paid utilities. A reserve reduces spendable cash; it does not make a known roof or sewer replacement disappear. Results describe a stabilized year after initial repairs. Fund renovation downtime and carrying costs separately; they are not estimated here.
| Required yield | Base NOI | Downside NOI |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5% | $644,093 | $508,481 |
| 7.5% | $554,330 | $436,800 |
| 8.5% | $485,688 | $381,985 |
A price below a yield ceiling can still fail debt coverage or require more cash than you have. Check the loan terms, unit-level leases and a contractor’s scope before treating a modeled ceiling as an offer.
The assumed four-unit property generates $45,072 annual NOI on $575,900 total basis, with $231,400 acquisition cash invested. Initial repairs and closing costs are upfront; the annual capital reserve reduces cash after debt. These are a separate stabilized acquisition case, not the one-unit renewal calendar above.
Enter actual taxes, rental-use insurance, management, maintenance and owner-paid utilities. The combined downside reduces rent 5%, adds three percentage points of loss and raises operating costs 10%. It tests whether the purchase can operate through uneven leasing without assuming rent growth. Add initial renovation downtime, financing fees and extra carrying liquidity separately.
The price ceilings use assumed yield hurdles on total cost, not observed Raleigh transaction cap rates. A higher yield on paper does not ensure adequate debt coverage or enough cash to finish the work. Extend verified inputs in the multifamily calculator.
Preserve a workable renewal; buy future upside only at a supported basis
Acquire or hold an operating household rental
Favor verified payments, a workable building budget and competition the property can withstand. South Cary/Apex’s relative apartment performance helps screen locations; it does not replace unit-level comparisons or justify paying any price.
Re-lease or renovate when the net gain pays for the transition
Use accepted rents and a priced work schedule. Count unavailable time and concessions separately, and fund necessary work regardless of cosmetic return. A larger demonstrated premium or a sufficiently discounted vacant property can reverse the preference for retained income.
Reprice a purchase that requires immediate rent recovery
Pass or lower the offer when debt service depends on no incentives, perfect occupancy and rising renewals at once. Watch paid leases, repeat concessions, competing stabilization and annual operating costs for evidence the stronger case has arrived.
The North Carolina rent guide supplies statewide research. The Raleigh metro overview retains broader investment screening; the Wake County market page and Raleigh city/ZIP lookup offer narrower geographic checks.
Questions that change the Raleigh rent budget
Does a shorter listing period mean no vacancy?
No. Marketing time in an included listing sample is not the full time between collected rent payments or a stock vacancy rate.
Should I match a tower’s rent when renewing a house?
Only a matched comparison of location, layout, services and full lease costs can support that price. A broad apartment average is insufficient.
Does Raleigh-Durham research measure this exact metro?
No. This headline is Raleigh-Cary’s provider market. Wider apartment research is labeled and used for local comparisons rather than substituted into the metro index.
Sources and methodology
Evidence behind this report
- Northmarq Q2 2026 Raleigh-Durham, published September 11; broader apartment market than Raleigh-Cary CBSA. Local comparison and supply stages are attributed to this coverage.
- Original Northmarq PDF, page 3 visually checked: CoStar-based apartment vacancy 7.8% broad market, 5.6% South Cary/Apex and 7.1% Central Raleigh; South Cary/Apex asking rent $1,800. These are mixed apartment cohorts, not matched homes or the metro ZORI. Exact unit sample/weights are not supplied. Forecasts are not observations.
- Rental Beast Q2 2026 Raleigh-Cary listing sample, retrieved October 21; exact publication date not displayed. Included listings: concession share 60.7% versus 66.6% Q1; median days on market 22. Some feeds are excluded from these measures. Its “single-family” category includes one-to-four units. Sample counts/weights and full geographic reconstruction are unavailable; template also mentions Arizona MLS. Use as qualified listing context, not stock vacancy or a detached-house census.
- IRR August 2026 public Raleigh midyear summary: asking-price adjustments and continued concessions; prospective future supply-gap improvement remains an expectation. Coverage is not harmonized with either study, and member-only research was not accessed.
- Zillow all-home, all-bedroom, smoothed, seasonally adjusted metro ZORI CSV; observation 2026-09-30; retrieved 2026-10-20T07:45:10.471Z UTC
- Zillow repeat-rent methodology
- Census July 2023 metro delineations
- Zillow county-to-metro crosswalk, retrieved 2026-10-21T11:08:54.488Z
Geography and comparable populations
Official July 2023 county membership matches Zillow’s undated provider crosswalk by FIPS. The headline retains the provider series rather than a county or ZIP average. Durham belongs to a separate metro. Broker Raleigh-Durham apartment coverage is broader than this Raleigh-Cary market. Official CBSA: 39580; separate Zillow RegionID: 395012. County and city figures are useful local checks but cannot reproduce this metro index.
| County | State | Zillow crosswalk |
|---|---|---|
| Franklin County | NC | Included |
| Johnston County | NC | Included |
| Wake County | NC | Included |
What the rent index measures
ZORI follows repeat asking-rent changes, weights toward the rental stock and smooths observations. It does not measure every signed lease, concessions, a two-bedroom quote, property income or a voucher payment standard. Broker apartment surveys have their own boundaries and property populations. Their vacancy and effective-rent readings are labeled by period and are never averaged into ZORI.
The headline and historical chart use one validated version. The file contains 740 metro rows; 740 have a latest-month observation. These are market counts, not rental-unit sample sizes; Zillow does not supply underlying unit sample counts here. Missing observations remain missing and prior months may be revised.
Refresh and editorial review
Provider Last-Modified: Fri, 16 Oct 2026 01:56:12 GMT. This page serves the stored published version. The shared weekly refresh publishes validated versions atomically and retains the previous version on failure. Changed interpretation is flagged for review; imports do not advance the editorial review date. Local broker studies and photographs retain their own dates.
This newly reviewed history comes from the committed download retrieved 2026-10-21T11:08:53.868Z; its complete source-file fingerprint, period and coverage match the stored publication. The next changed-source import stores all reviewed histories together.
SHA-256: cf1ac2ab12236da3e05a81d06542e6fb95581704c6e9f375424e73b72ccb444b
Investment judgments are RentalCalcs’ analysis of the stated evidence. Purchase examples are explicitly assumed underwriting cases, not listings, appraisals, financing quotes or observed market cap rates. Report a correction.