Ingham market analysis
Ingham County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.95%, which places it on the cash-flow-leaning side of the spectrum without fully delivering it. The 4.51% cap rate is workable in a market where median home prices are $223,411, but it doesn't survive conventional financing intact. At 6.85% interest, the model mortgage runs $1,171 per month, and with $453 in estimated monthly expenses, total carry exceeds median rent of $1,293 by enough to produce a negative $331 monthly cash flow and a cash-on-cash return of -7.73% on a 20% down payment. Year-over-year home price appreciation of 2.45% is real but not the kind of number that rescues a cash-flow-negative position quickly. Ingham's overall score of 68 out of 100, with a cash-flow sub-score of 69 and an appreciation sub-score of 75, confirms what the math implies: this is a blended market that fully satisfies neither the pure cash-flow buyer nor the aggressive appreciation buyer at current financing rates.
The investor this market suits best is someone who can reduce leverage meaningfully, execute a value-add acquisition below the median, or hold through a rate environment that eventually improves. A buyer who can acquire at 15-20% below median, push rents toward or past $1,400, or bring in all-cash capital will flip the cash-flow sign. The affordability index of 82 and median price of $223,411 mean there is still a real inventory of properties below $180,000 where the arithmetic tightens considerably. Ingham is also worth looking at for the appreciation-minded buyer willing to accept a thin or mildly negative current yield: the 75 appreciation score is the strongest sub-score in the profile and, combined with the government and institutional anchor employment base, suggests above-average demand floor on prices.
Ingham County is home to Michigan's state capital, Lansing, and Michigan State University in East Lansing. These two anchors matter for rental underwriting in concrete ways. State government employment is counter-cyclical by nature, it doesn't disappear in recessions the way manufacturing or retail payrolls do. MSU generates a structural rental demand base of students, faculty, and staff that is renewed annually and largely insulated from local economic cycles. That demand concentration is a double-edged sword, addressed below, but for baseline occupancy underwriting it is a genuine stabilizer. The combination of government and a large research university also supports the local professional services, healthcare, and hospitality employment that fills non-student rental demand.
The tax and insurance load deserves a real line on your underwrite. At a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.54%, Michigan sits in high territory, and the model reflects it: annual property tax on a $223,411 acquisition comes to $3,441, or $287 per month. Add $48 per month for insurance at a 0.26% rate and the combined tax-and-insurance carry is $335 monthly. That is 26% of gross rent before mortgage, maintenance, vacancy, or management. Michigan's assessed value rules and Proposal A caps can limit annual tax growth on held properties, but at acquisition you are pricing in a real burden. The 1.54% figure is a state-average estimate per Tax Foundation 2024 data, and county or township rates in Ingham can diverge from that average, so pull the actual mill rate for any specific parcel before closing.
The stability score of 50 is the lowest sub-score in the profile and deserves attention. With MSU as a dominant demand anchor, rental demand is geographically and demographically concentrated around the university calendar and student population. A significant enrollment decline, remote-learning shift, or on-campus housing expansion would hit rental occupancy faster here than in a more diversified metro. State government employment is more stable, but it is not immune to budget cycles or long-term workforce restructuring. Investors should also factor in that Michigan has a history of economic cyclicality, and while Lansing/East Lansing is insulated relative to more auto-dependent markets, it is not fully decoupled.
Against its neighbors, Ingham's 6.95% rent-to-price ratio is the highest in the comparison set. Shiawassee County is cheaper at $201,542 median but produces a 6.19% ratio; Jackson County is slightly cheaper at $215,569 but falls to a 6.00% ratio. Eaton County at $250,864 offers a 6.46% ratio, Macomb County at $261,061 comes in at 6.38%, and Livingston County at $383,343 delivers a 6.34% ratio. Every neighbor scores 67 or 68 overall, statistically tied with Ingham at 68, so differentiation has to come from the data, not the composite scores. You choose Ingham over a neighbor specifically when the MSU and state-government demand anchors matter to your underwriting thesis, when you want the highest gross yield ratio in the peer group, or when you are pursuing a value-add strategy in a market with a price ceiling that still leaves room for forced appreciation without overreaching into thin secondary markets like Shiawassee or Jackson, where lower prices also reflect shallower demand pools.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $167,559 | -$38/mo | 6.0% | -1.2% |
Median typical MLS deal | $223,411 | -$331/mo | 4.5% | -7.7% |
125% of median newer / premium | $279,264 | -$624/mo | 3.6% | -11.7% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
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Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.95% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.95%)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$331/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Ingham County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Ingham County in Michigan scores 68/100, ranking #183 of 1,000 US counties (top 23%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $331/month; the 6.95% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.
Related markets
Markets like Ingham with stronger cash flow
Cheaper alternatives to Ingham
Head-to-head comparisons
Average rent by city in Ingham County
- Average rent in Lansing$1,245/mo
Typical asking rent across each city's ZIP codes (Zillow Observed Rent Index). Open a city for rent by ZIP and bedroom count.