Lapeer County

MichiganPopulation: 88,687
64
/100
Hold
#273 of 1,000 counties
#50 in Michigan (83 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated October 19, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$296,879
Median Home Price
30% above national median
$1,423/mo
Median Rent
2% below national median
5.75%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 56% nationally
-$632
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Lapeer market analysis

Lapeer County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.575%, which annualizes to a 6.9% gross yield on paper, but the actual cap rate lands at 3.74% once you layer in operating expenses. At a $296,879 median purchase price with a 20% down payment and a 6.85% mortgage, the modeled monthly cash flow is negative $632, producing a cash-on-cash return of -11.11%. That is not a rounding error, it is a structural gap between what the debt costs and what the rent covers. The appreciation score of 85 out of 100, paired with 4.52% year-over-year home price growth, tells you where this market's actual investment thesis lives: on the equity side, not the income side. Lapeer scores 56 on cash flow and 85 on appreciation, and those two numbers define exactly what kind of asset you're buying.

That profile fits a specific kind of buyer. If you are an appreciation-oriented investor with patience and a tolerance for monthly carry losses, Lapeer's price growth and relative affordability, an affordability index of 66, give you a reasonable entry point into a market adjacent to expensive southeast Michigan metros. If you need cash flow to cover a mortgage payment today, the math at 6.85% does not work, and pretending otherwise wastes your time. The 3.74% cap rate also means value-add operators need to find deals with meaningful upside well below the $296,879 median, because at market price there is no margin for rehab cost and still get to a workable yield. Stability scores at 50 out of 100, which is roughly median, meaning this is not a fortress market, but it is not fragile either.

The $445 monthly tax-and-insurance figure deserves a hard look before you sign anything. The state-average effective property tax rate in Michigan runs 1.54%, which the Tax Foundation flags as high, and that rate is the basis for the $4,572 annual tax estimate used here. Carry that next to the $1,556 monthly mortgage on a standard 20% down purchase, and your fixed monthly obligations before any maintenance or management are over $2,000. Gross rent of $1,422 does not cover it. To be clear, the 1.54% is a state-average estimate; actual Lapeer County township rates may differ, but Michigan's property tax structure has enough variation that you should pull the specific parcel's winter and summer tax bills before underwriting, not after. At this rate level, property tax is not a footnote on your pro forma, it is a primary driver of the cap rate compression you see in the 3.74% number.

Lapeer carries concentration risk worth naming. At 88,687 residents, this is a small county. Its market depth is thin compared to the suburban counties around it, which means a softer economy translates quickly into pricing and occupancy pressure. The stability score of 50 reflects that. Investors accustomed to the liquidity of larger MSAs should factor in longer average days on market and a narrower pool of qualified tenants when modeling exit timelines or tenant turn costs.

Comparing Lapeer to its neighbors clarifies the trade-off. Oakland County has a median home price of $353,204 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.583%, almost identical to Lapeer's 0.575%, but at $56,000 more in acquisition cost. Kent County is at $335,851 with a 0.624% rent-to-price ratio, meaning better yield relative to price at roughly comparable overall scores. Berrien County stands out with a 0.671% rent-to-price ratio at $262,819, which is the strongest yield-to-price relationship in this peer group. Kalamazoo County at $263,226 and 0.592% is also priced lower with a comparable ratio. Against that backdrop, Lapeer's case is largely geographic: if proximity to the I-69 and I-75 corridors and southeast Michigan's employment base matters to your tenant profile, you pay for that access with lower yield. If cash flow is your priority over location, Berrien and Kalamazoo offer better-priced entry points with stronger gross yield ratios. Choose Lapeer when you believe southeast Michigan price appreciation will continue to compound, you can absorb the monthly carry, and you want lower acquisition costs than Oakland without abandoning the metro orbit entirely.

Last analyzed October 19, 2026. Based on the latest available Zillow and Census data for Lapeer County.

Scenario comparison

Same $1,423/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$222,659-$243/mo5.0%-5.7%
Median
typical MLS deal
$296,879-$632/mo3.7%-11.1%
125% of median
newer / premium
$371,099-$1,021/mo3.0%-14.3%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$296,879
Down Payment (20%)$59,376
Loan Amount$237,503
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,423
Monthly P&I-$1,556
Est. Expenses (35%)-$498
Net Cash Flow-$632/mo
3.7%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-11.1%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.75%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.7% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
64/100
64
Cash Flow(30%)
56/100

Based on 5.75% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
85/100

Based on 4.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
66/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$632/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.7% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
88,687
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +Patient holders willing to accept negative carry for equity gains
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
WexfordMI
65$221,629Est. pending—BuyView
KentMI
65$335,851$1,7466.24%BuyView
CurrentLapeerMI
64$296,879$1,4235.75%Buy
OaklandMI
64$353,204$1,7175.83%BuyView
KalamazooMI
64$263,226$1,2985.92%BuyView
BerrienMI
64$262,819$1,4706.71%BuyView

Section 8 in Lapeer County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.

The Bottom Line

HoldLapeer scores well overall, but a typical leveraged buy-and-hold loses $632/mo at current rates. Consider house hacking, value-add, or all-cash; otherwise a worse score with positive cash flow may be the better deal.

Lapeer County in Michigan scores 64/100, ranking #273 of 1,000 US counties (top 35%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $632/month; the 5.75% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-632/mo
Cap Rate
3.7%
Cash-on-Cash
-11.1%

Related markets

Frequently asked questions

Lapeer County has an average cap rate of 3.74%, which is below the 5% threshold many investors target for cash flow, indicating this market favors appreciation over immediate income.

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