McLeod market analysis
McLeod County sits at a gross rent-to-price ratio of 0.553%, or about 5.53% annualized, which puts it squarely in the middle ground between a pure cash-flow market and an appreciation play. The model cap rate of 3.59% is the headline number that sets the tone for everything else: at a 6.85% financing rate, leverage works against you here, not for you. The cash-on-cash return of -11.73% on a 20% down scenario reflects a monthly cash deficit of $668 after mortgage, taxes, insurance, and estimated expenses. Appreciation has been running at 2.29% year-over-year, and the appreciation score of 73 out of 100 is the strongest dimension in the county's profile. The overall score of 60 and a national percentile rank of 52 tell you this is a median-quality market, neither a standout nor a market to avoid outright.
The investor this market suits is not the cash-flow buyer underwriting to day-one positive carry. At a $297,246 median purchase price and $1,370 median rent, the numbers do not support that thesis at current interest rates without a material discount to market price or a value-add component that lifts rents. The appreciation score of 73, combined with an affordability index of 66, suggests McLeod still has room to move on price without being so cheap that there is no demand foundation. An investor making a long-duration hold bet, accepting near-term negative carry in exchange for price appreciation, has a coherent argument here, but only if they can fund the $668 monthly shortfall from reserves or supplemental income without strain. A value-add operator who can acquire below the $297,246 median, force rents above $1,370, or bring a property to market at a lower cost basis has the clearest path to making the math work.
The monthly tax and insurance figure of $367 is not catastrophic but is material to the cash-flow story. The state-average effective property tax rate used here is 1.13%, which the model flags as normal, and that tracks roughly with what Minnesota investors generally encounter. Worth noting: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and your actual county or township rate in McLeod may differ, so pull the assessor's data on any specific parcel before finalizing your underwrite. Combined with the insurance load at 0.35% ($87/month), the $367 monthly T&I figure represents a meaningful slice of the $1,370 gross rent, roughly 27 cents of every rent dollar going to carry costs before you touch the mortgage. That is the structural reason the cash-flow score sits at 53 even though the rent-to-price ratio is not obviously weak.
The five neighboring counties in the data create a useful positioning map. Cottonwood County prices in at $163,785 median, which is 45% cheaper than McLeod, and carries the same overall score of 60. If your primary objective is acquiring at low basis with maximum optionality, Cottonwood deserves serious comparison, though the data does not include a rent figure to calculate its rent-to-price ratio. Washington County at $428,544 median and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.564% is actually fractionally better on yield than McLeod at 0.553%, and Hennepin County at $374,793 median is nearly equivalent in yield at 0.558%, both with the deeper tenant pools of the Twin Cities metro. If you are already operating in those markets, McLeod does not offer a compelling yield premium to justify the smaller labor market and lower liquidity. Rice County at $340,873 median and a 0.499% rent-to-price ratio is the weakest yield in the peer group and would be the last choice among the neighbors on a pure income basis. Stearns County at $306,138 median and 0.492% yield is similarly unattractive on income metrics compared to McLeod. The case for choosing McLeod over its neighbors is narrow: it offers better yield than Rice and Stearns, lower entry cost than Hennepin and Washington, and a somewhat stronger appreciation score profile than the raw price data alone would suggest. An investor who is priced out of the Twin Cities counties but skeptical of smaller rural markets like Cottonwood would find McLeod a reasonable compromise, with the understanding that the stability score of 50 warrants scrutiny of tenant demand concentration before committing capital at scale.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $222,934 | -$278/mo | 4.8% | -6.5% |
Median typical MLS deal | $297,246 | -$668/mo | 3.6% | -11.7% |
125% of median newer / premium | $371,557 | -$1,057/mo | 2.9% | -14.8% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 5.53% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on 2.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$668/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.6% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in McLeod County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
McLeod County in Minnesota scores 60/100, ranking #375 of 1,000 US counties (top 48%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $668/month; the 5.53% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.