Adams County
Market Snapshot
Adams market analysis
Adams County, Mississippi sits at a median home price of $117,454, which is one of the lowest entry points you'll find anywhere in the country. The affordability index scores a perfect 100, and the county ranks 17th percentile nationally out of 1,000 counties analyzed, placing it firmly in the lower tier for overall investment quality (47/100 overall score). Home prices declined 10.3% year-over-year, which is a meaningful signal: this is not a market where you buy for appreciation and wait. The appreciation score of 4 out of 100 confirms that. The cash flow score registers at zero, which demands scrutiny before deploying capital here, though the core math of a $117,000 purchase price at least keeps your basis low enough to make the conversation worth having.
The investor profile that makes any sense in Adams County is a deep value-add operator or a yield-focused buyer who can source rents meaningfully above the county median, not someone chasing price growth. The appreciation score of 4 is not a rounding error; it reflects a county where population stands at 29,425 and home prices are moving in the wrong direction. A buy-and-hold investor banking on equity appreciation over a five-to-seven year hold should look elsewhere. That said, the $117,454 median purchase price leaves room for a cash-flow story if you're acquiring at or below median and targeting tenants in the workforce or Section 8 pool. The low basis also limits your downside on a hard exit, though the 10.3% price decline means basis risk is real and current.
No economic anchor data was provided for Adams County, so employer-specific demand drivers cannot be assessed from the available data. That absence is itself a signal worth taking seriously: markets with identifiable institutional employers, healthcare systems, universities, or manufacturing bases tend to show up in structured datasets with named anchors. The stability score of 50 out of 100 suggests neither acute distress nor a reliable demand floor, and with a population under 30,000, tenant pool depth is limited. Vacancy is not quantified in the provided data, but thin population combined with declining prices historically correlates with oversupply relative to demand in rural Mississippi markets.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden comes to $128, using Mississippi's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.81% and an insurance rate of 0.50%. That $128 monthly figure is manageable relative to the purchase price, and the 0.81% tax rate falls in the normal range, neither a tailwind nor a line item that will blow up your underwrite. The honest caveat here is that this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and actual Adams County or township-level rates may differ, so pull the county assessor data before you close. Insurance in Mississippi warrants independent confirmation as well, particularly if the property has any wind or flood exposure, which the 0.50% estimate may not fully capture depending on location within the county.
The primary risks here are concentration and demographic. A population of 29,425 with declining home prices and a cash flow score of zero means you have limited exit options if the property underperforms. You cannot rely on a broad buyer pool, a rising rent environment, or price appreciation to bail out a bad acquisition. Regulatory risk data is not available in the provided dataset, but rural Mississippi markets generally carry fewer landlord-side regulatory burdens than coastal or urban markets. The demographic trajectory, implied by the pricing data, is the real concern: a shrinking or stagnant population creates a self-reinforcing cycle of soft rents and soft prices.
Compared to the five neighboring counties provided, Adams at $117,454 sits below Yalobusha ($144,720, score 46), Jones ($149,816, score 46), and Bolivar ($121,420, score 46), while running above Sunflower ($93,259, score 46) and Clarke ($99,338, score 45). Notably, Adams scores one point higher overall (47) than all five neighbors, but the gap is thin enough to be noise. Sunflower County at $93,259 offers an even lower entry point for a buyer prioritizing basis minimization, while Jones County at $149,816 carries a higher price for the same overall score, making it the weaker relative value on paper. Choose Adams over these neighbors only if you have specific local knowledge of a submarket within the county, an existing tenant relationship, or a value-add deal sourced below the $117,000 median. On aggregate metrics alone, none of these counties presents a compelling case, and Adams's 10.3% price decline is the sharpest negative signal in this peer group.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on -10.3% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-10.3% YoY)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
The Bottom Line
Adams County in Mississippi scores 47/100, ranking #652 of 1,000 US counties (top 83%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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Frequently asked questions
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