Saline County
Market Snapshot
Saline market analysis
Saline County sits at a median home price of $183,945 with 6.24% year-over-year appreciation, landing it in the 98th percentile nationally and second in Missouri out of 113 counties. That appreciation score of 90 out of 100 is the headline number here. The cash flow score, however, is listed at zero, which signals that this market skews heavily toward the appreciation end of the spectrum. Without published rent and cap rate figures in the data, an investor cannot underwrite a yield-driven deal from county-level medians alone, and any pro forma built here needs rent comparables pulled from the ground up.
The appreciation profile makes Saline a cleaner fit for a buy-and-hold investor whose thesis is equity accumulation over a five-to-ten-year hold, not a landlord who needs the property to service itself from day one. The affordability index of 91 out of 100 and a median price just under $184,000 mean entry cost is low, which compresses the equity required to get into a deal. A 20% down payment is roughly $36,800, a number that keeps deal count up and portfolio scaling realistic. The stability score of 50 out of 100 tempers that picture: this is not a set-it-and-forget-it market. A landlord pricing in occupancy risk or a rent plateau should stress-test cash flow accordingly.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Saline County, so the analysis stops at the macro indicators. Investors doing serious diligence should ground-truth the 6.24% appreciation rate against local job creation, population inflows, and any institutional or commercial activity driving housing demand. Appreciation without an identifiable economic engine is a trend, not a thesis.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance burden is $216, based on Missouri's state-average effective property tax rate of 0.97% and an insurance rate of 0.44%. That $216 is meaningful at this price point: on a $184,000 asset it represents a material fixed expense in any month where rent is not coming in. The 0.97% tax rate is flagged as normal relative to national benchmarks, so it is not a headwind the way a 1.5% or 1.7% rate would be, but it is also not a tailwind. Build it into your operating budget as a baseline, not an afterthought. Per the data provider's caveat, this is a state-average estimate and actual Saline County or township rates may differ, so verify with the county assessor before closing.
The primary risk here is the stability score of 50. At a population of 23,219, Saline is a small market, which means rental demand is concentrated. A single employer contraction, a demographic shift in a college-age or working-age cohort, or a local economic disruption can move vacancy rates in ways that a larger MSA absorbs gradually. No vacancy or crime data was provided, so this analysis does not speculate on those metrics, but the combination of small population and a middling stability score warrants close scrutiny of the local tenant pool before committing.
Compared to its neighbors, Saline's overall score of 78 is competitive. Linn County scores 80 at a median price of $139,094, which makes it the alternative for a pure affordability play or a buyer trying to maximize unit count per dollar deployed. If cash flow is the mandate, Linn's lower entry cost likely produces better yield math even without Saline's appreciation rate. Butler County, the only neighbor with rent data, shows a gross rent-to-price ratio of 6.7% on a $160,556 median, suggesting better near-term income generation than what Saline's price point implies at comparable rents. Livingston County at $188,828 and an overall score of 76 offers little differentiation from Saline at a slightly higher price, making it the weaker choice on nearly every dimension. Andrew and Clinton counties both score in the low 70s at median prices of $281,000 to $275,000, meaning an investor in those markets is paying a 50% premium over Saline for a lower overall score. Saline makes the most sense when the investor's priority is appreciation upside at low entry cost within Missouri, accepts limited near-term cash flow, and has the operating reserves to weather a thin rental market.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 6.2% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+6.2% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Saline County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Saline County in Missouri scores 78/100, ranking #14 of 1,000 US counties (top 2%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.
Related markets
Markets like Saline with stronger cash flow
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Head-to-head comparisons
Rent vs buy in Missouri cities
Frequently asked questions
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