Union County

New JerseyPopulation: 572,079
44
/100
Avoid
#702 of 1,000 counties
#20 in New Jersey (21 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs ResearchIndependent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated August 31, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$636,731
Median Home Price
178% above national median
$2,535/mo
Median Rent
75% above national median
4.78%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 80% nationally
-$1,690
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $2,535/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$477,549-$856/mo4.1%-9.3%
Median
typical MLS deal
$636,731-$1,690/mo3.1%-13.8%
125% of median
newer / premium
$795,914-$2,525/mo2.5%-16.6%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$636,731
Down Payment (20%)$127,346
Loan Amount$509,385
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$2,535
Monthly P&I-$3,338
Est. Expenses (35%)-$887
Net Cash Flow-$1,690/mo
3.1%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-13.8%
Cash-on-Cash Return
4.78%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.1% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
44/100
44
Cash Flow(30%)
42/100

Based on 4.78% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
66/100

Based on 1.6% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
15/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (4.78%)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$1,690/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.1% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
  • -High price-to-income ratio makes financing challenging

Economic Indicators

Population
572,079
Median Income
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
Data pending
Price-to-Income
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • You rely on FHA-style financing: prices are stretched relative to local incomes
  • You want a market with broad institutional consensus on fundamentals

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
PassaicNJ
51$574,942$2,2824.76%HoldView
MonmouthNJ
50$733,160$2,8334.64%HoldView
HudsonNJ
48$617,352$2,9125.66%HoldView
EssexNJ
47$635,686$2,3054.35%HoldView
CurrentUnionNJ
44$636,731$2,5354.78%Avoid
Cape MayNJ
41$754,410$2,1003.34%AvoidView

The Bottom Line

AvoidUnion may be challenging for traditional rentals. High prices or low rents make cash flow difficult.

Union County in New Jersey scores 44/100, ranking #702 of 1,000 US counties (top 90%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $1690/month; the 4.78% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-1,690/mo
Cap Rate
3.1%
Cash-on-Cash
-13.8%

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