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Market MapNew MexicoLincoln

Lincoln County

New MexicoPopulation: 20,222
51
/100
Hold
#575 of 1,000 counties
#19 in New Mexico (30 counties)
Analysis by RentalCalcs Research·Independent data + algorithm-driven scoring
Updated July 8, 2026Sources: Zillow ZHVI, Zillow ZORI, US Census ACS, Tax Foundation

Market Snapshot

$350,903
Median Home Price
53% above national median
$1,579/mo
Median Rent
9% above national median
5.40%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Top 65% nationally
-$813
Est. Monthly Cash Flow
With 20% down at 6.9% rate

Scenario comparison

Same $1,579/mo rent assumption, 20% down, 6.85% rate. What changes is the acquisition price.
ScenarioPurchase priceMonthly cash flowCap rateCash-on-cash
75% of median
value-add or distressed
$263,177-$353/mo4.7%-7.0%
Median
typical MLS deal
$350,903-$813/mo3.5%-12.1%
125% of median
newer / premium
$438,629-$1,273/mo2.8%-15.1%

Price History

Median Home Price

Median Rent

Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI

Quick Investment Calculator

20%
5%50%100%

Purchase

Purchase Price$350,903
Down Payment (20%)$70,181
Loan Amount$280,722
Interest Rate6.85%

Monthly Cash Flow

Gross Rent+$1,579
Monthly P&I-$1,839
Est. Expenses (35%)-$553
Net Cash Flow-$813/mo
3.5%
Cap Rate (all cash)
-12.1%
Cash-on-Cash Return
5.40%
Rent-to-Price Ratio
Negative leverage: At 6.85% rates, borrowing costs exceed the 3.5% cap rate. All-cash buyers may see better returns.

* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.

Run Full AnalysisTry House Hack Strategy

Score Breakdown

Overall Investment Score
51/100
51
Cash Flow(30%)
51/100

Based on 5.40% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.

Appreciation(25%)
48/100

Based on -0.5% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.

Stability(25%)
50/100

Population data not available.

Affordability(20%)
55/100

Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.

Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.

Investment Outlook

Strengths

  • +Complete rent data available

Challenges

  • -Below-average rent-to-price ratio (5.40%)
  • -Declining home values (-0.5% YoY)
  • -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$813/mo)
  • -Negative leverage (cap rate 3.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)

Economic Indicators

Population
20,222
Median Income
—
Data pending
Unemployment Rate
—
Data pending
Price-to-Income
—
Data pending

Who this market fits

Best for
  • +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
Skip if
  • −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
  • −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
  • −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year

Compare to Nearby Counties

CountyVerdict
QuayNM
54$104,644Est. pending—HoldView
BernalilloNM
53$339,865$1,4785.22%HoldView
Dona AnaNM
52$285,598$1,4596.13%HoldView
CurrentLincolnNM
51$350,903$1,5795.40%Hold
LunaNM
51$153,314Est. pending—HoldView
GrantNM
49$188,064$1,1007.02%HoldView

The Bottom Line

HoldLincoln is a neutral market. Consider house hacking or targeting below-market deals.

Lincoln County in New Mexico scores 51/100, ranking #575 of 1,000 US counties (top 73%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $813/month; the 5.40% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.

Monthly Cash Flow
$-813/mo
Cap Rate
3.5%
Cash-on-Cash
-12.1%

Related markets

Markets like Lincoln with stronger cash flow

  • Grant County for cash-flow rentals
  • Dona Ana County for cash-flow rentals
  • Bernalillo County for cash-flow rentals

Cheaper alternatives to Lincoln

  • Quay County, lower entry price
  • Luna County, lower entry price
  • Grant County, lower entry price

Head-to-head comparisons

  • Lincoln vs Luna for rentals
  • Lincoln vs Dona Ana for rentals
  • Lincoln vs Bernalillo for rentals
All counties in New Mexico →

Rent vs buy in New Mexico cities

Rent vs buy in Albuquerque, NMMedian $339,865 · rent $1,478/moRent vs buy in Las Cruces, NMMedian $285,598 · rent $1,459/moRent vs buy in Rio Rancho, NMMedian $366,487 · rent $1,917/moRent vs buy in Santa Fe, NMMedian $543,970 · rent $2,000/moRent vs buy in Farmington, NMMedian $259,732 · rent $1,415/moAll New Mexico citiesFull rent-vs-buy directory for the state

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