Schoharie market analysis
Schoharie County sits at a median home price of $256,375 with a 7.04% year-over-year price gain, ranking 4th out of 62 New York counties and in the 91st percentile nationally across 1,000 counties tracked. The appreciation score of 92 is the dominant signal here. What's conspicuously absent from the data is a cap rate, a cash-on-cash return, and a rent-to-price ratio, which means this county does not present the kind of yield profile that makes a cash-flow underwrite pencil cleanly. The investable story is price appreciation, not monthly income, and any investor who walks in expecting the latter will be disappointed before the first rent check clears.
That framing tells you exactly who this county suits and who it doesn't. An appreciation-focused buyer, someone parking equity for five-plus years and betting on continued price momentum, will find Schoharie's 92 appreciation score and 7% annual price growth compelling at a median entry of $256,375. A cash-flow operator looking for rent-to-price ratios above 0.08 should look elsewhere in this data set, because Schoharie simply doesn't supply that information, and the absence itself is a signal. Value-add operators who can force appreciation through renovation may find the affordability index of 75 and a still-accessible price point relative to downstate New York worth a closer look, but they need to stress-test exit values carefully given the county's small population of 29,970. Thin buyer pools at exit are a real constraint when the hold period ends.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Schoharie County, so no conclusions about job base or institutional rental demand can be drawn from the available inputs. What the population figure does reveal is a small, rural market. At roughly 30,000 residents, rental demand is structurally limited. Vacancy sensitivity is higher than in urban submarkets, even if vacancy statistics themselves aren't available here, because a small tenant pool means a single vacant unit represents a proportionally larger hit to a portfolio's income line.
Carry costs deserve direct attention. The combined monthly tax and insurance burden works out to $419, based on a state-average effective property tax rate of 1.72% and an insurance rate of 0.24% applied to the $256,375 purchase price. That $419 per month is a real number before debt service, maintenance, management, or any other operating expense hits the ledger. At 1.72%, New York's state-average rate is high enough to deserve its own line on your underwrite, and the honest caveat applies: this is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data, and the actual county or township rate in Schoharie may differ, in either direction. Given that the cash flow score is effectively zero and no rent figure is provided, that $419 monthly carry is not being offset by visible rent income in this data set. An investor must source local rent comps independently before proceeding.
The primary risks here are concentration and scale. A county of 30,000 people with no visible cash-flow metrics and no economic anchor data has limited margin for error. A population decline, a single large employer exit, or a regional demand shift could move prices in ways that a deeper, more diversified market would absorb. The 50 stability score reflects this, sitting squarely at the midpoint and suggesting neither strong occupancy resilience nor acute distress. Regulatory risk in New York State is always present, though no county-specific rent control or tenant protection data was provided here.
Compared to the neighboring counties in this data set, Schoharie's trade-off is higher price and higher appreciation potential against worse measurable yield. Steuben County carries a median price of $163,769 and a rent-to-price ratio of 0.0976, the highest in the neighbor group. Chemung County prices in at $151,982 with a ratio of 0.0917. Both of those counties offer yield metrics that Schoharie doesn't show. Oneida County at $225,470 and a ratio of 0.0784 gets you a larger population center with a visible rent market. Cattaraugus at $158,795 and 0.0823 is another cash-flow candidate. Schoharie's overall score of 74 edges out its neighbors only marginally, and its case rests almost entirely on that 92 appreciation score. Choose Schoharie over these neighbors when your thesis is equity accumulation in a low-basis upstate New York market, you have a long hold horizon, and you do not need the property to service its own debt from rental income in the near term.
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Score Breakdown
Rent data not available for cash flow calculation.
Based on 7.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Strong price appreciation (+7.0% YoY)
- +Affordable relative to local incomes
Challenges
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 0.0% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
- -Limited rent data (estimates used)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +Appreciation buyers: YoY growth is meaningfully above the long-run average
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Schoharie County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Schoharie County in New York scores 74/100, ranking #74 of 1,000 US counties (top 9%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental roughly breaks even on cash flow. The deal works on appreciation or with better terms, not on month-one cash flow.