Lee market analysis
Lee County's gross rent-to-price ratio sits at 6.87%, which is decent for North Carolina but not exceptional. The 4.47% cap rate tells the more honest story: after expenses, this market does not pencil at current financing rates. Running a standard 20% down purchase at $287,872 with a 6.85% 30-year mortgage produces a monthly mortgage payment of $1,509, estimated additional expenses of $577, and a gross rent of $1,649, which leaves you negative $437 per month before any vacancy or capital expenditure. Cash-on-cash return comes in at -7.92%. The county scores 69 out of 100 on cash flow, which reflects the ratio's relative strength rather than an actual positive cash position at today's rates. Appreciation offers little offset: home prices are essentially flat, down 0.02% year-over-year, and the appreciation score lands at 50. This is a market caught between two stools, not quite a cash-flow play at current interest rates and not an appreciation market either.
The investor profile this suits best is a value-add operator or an all-cash or low-leverage buyer. An all-cash buyer at $287,872 earning $1,649 per month gross and netting something in the neighborhood of a 4.47% cap sees a reasonable return relative to what fixed income was offering not long ago, though hardly a windfall. The affordability index of 68 and median home price just under $288K mean the barrier to entry is manageable, and there is likely a tenant base of working-class and middle-income renters who cannot or choose not to buy at these prices. For a leveraged buy-and-hold investor expecting to cover debt service from rent on day one, the numbers simply do not work at 6.85% financing without a meaningful price discount or significant rent growth. A value-add buyer who can acquire below median and force appreciation through renovation has a more defensible thesis here than a standard market-rate acquisition.
No economic anchors or employer data were provided for Lee County, so job base depth and demand drivers cannot be assessed from the supplied figures. What can be said numerically is that the county's population of 63,560 supports a local rental market that is real but not deep, and the affordability score of 68 suggests residents are under enough price pressure to keep rental demand present. Whether that demand holds through an economic slowdown depends on the county's employment concentration, which the data does not allow quantification of here.
On carry costs, the combined monthly tax and insurance figure of $269 is already embedded in the $577 estimated expenses line, but it is worth isolating. At a 0.84% state-average effective property tax rate, North Carolina is a normal property tax environment, and the flag confirms that. At the 0.28% insurance rate, the insured cost of holding a $288K property runs roughly $67 per month, which is a modest line item. Neither figure is a deal-breaker, though investors should confirm actual Lee County and township rates before closing, since the 0.84% figure is a state-average estimate from Tax Foundation 2024 data and local millage rates can deviate materially in either direction.
The primary risk visible in this data is the combination of flat price appreciation and negative levered cash flow, which creates a scenario where an investor is paying to hold an asset that is not currently growing in value. At -7.92% cash-on-cash, a $57,574 down payment bleeds roughly $5,244 per year. That is only acceptable if you have high conviction on rent growth or eventual price appreciation, and the current data supports neither. The market's stability score of 50 does not provide reassurance on the downside scenario. There is no vacancy, regulatory, or demographic data in the supplied figures, so specific risks in those categories cannot be quantified.
Compared to the neighboring counties in the data, Lee County is a middle-of-the-pack market. Wilson County offers the highest rent-to-price ratio in the peer group at 7.00% and a median price of $216,344, making it the clearest cash-flow alternative, with lower absolute capital requirements and better ratio metrics, though it carries the same overall score of 59. Nash County also comes in cheaper at $229,278 and a 6.83% ratio, roughly in line with Lee. Forsyth County at $277,643 and a 6.68% ratio is slightly larger and more expensive with a marginally weaker ratio. Guilford County shows the worst ratio of the group at 6.32% on a $270,247 median, meaning you pay close to Lee County prices but get less rent relative to price. Surry County lacks rent data in the supplied figures, so comparison is incomplete. An investor choosing Lee County over these neighbors should have a specific reason tied to local knowledge, such as a particular submarket, a specific property below median, or a value-add opportunity, because on the raw numbers, Wilson and Nash offer better ratio entry points at lower price points.
Scenario comparison
| Scenario | Purchase price | Monthly cash flow | Cap rate | Cash-on-cash |
|---|---|---|---|---|
75% of median value-add or distressed | $215,904 | -$60/mo | 6.0% | -1.4% |
Median typical MLS deal | $287,872 | -$437/mo | 4.5% | -7.9% |
125% of median newer / premium | $359,840 | -$814/mo | 3.6% | -11.8% |
Price History
Median Home Price
Median Rent
Historical data from Zillow ZHVI/ZORI
Quick Investment Calculator
Purchase
Monthly Cash Flow
* Based on county median values. 35% expenses include taxes, insurance, maintenance, vacancy, and property management. Actual results vary by property.
Score Breakdown
Based on 6.87% rent-to-price ratio. Higher ratios indicate stronger cash flow potential.
Based on -0.0% YoY price growth. Moderate growth (3-8%) scores highest.
Population data not available.
Based on price relative to estimated local incomes.
Scores are calculated using real Zillow home value and rent data, Census population data, and economic indicators. The weighted average produces the overall investment score. Markets with missing rent data use estimated values based on regional averages.
Investment Outlook
Strengths
- +Above-average rent-to-price ratio (6.87%)
- +Complete rent data available
Challenges
- -Declining home values (-0.0% YoY)
- -Negative cash flow at typical financing (-$437/mo)
- -Negative leverage (cap rate 4.5% < mortgage rate 6.9%)
Economic Indicators
Who this market fits
- +All-cash buyers: removing debt service flips the cap rate to actual yield
- −You need positive cash flow on day one at typical leverage
- −You can't tolerate negative leverage (cap rate below mortgage rate today)
- −You expect appreciation to carry the deal, but prices have declined year over year
Compare to Nearby Counties
Section 8 in Lee County: payment standards by ZIP, PHA waitlist status, and voucher counts are on VoucherMatch, the same HUD dataset with the tenant demand side attached.
The Bottom Line
Lee County in North Carolina scores 59/100, ranking #402 of 1,000 US counties (top 51%). At 20% down and current rates, a median-priced rental loses about $437/month; the 6.87% gross rent-to-price ratio doesn't survive debt service. The thesis here is appreciation, value-add, house hacking, or all-cash.